Neoblastz

Premier - Valkyries - 17-13 (0.567)
96 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 30 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 96/100 Tier dominance: 30th (-0.6 SD) Projects as: Premier Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
7% of games
Shot %
24%

Per-game production (percentile within Premier)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 348.47 10454
50th
Goals 0.7 21
40th
Assists 0.67 20
67th
Saves 1.3 39
33rd
Shots 2.93 88
67th
Demos 1.1 33
46th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Premier
Points348.47 #436 / 1213 #26 / 73
Goals0.7 #540 / 1213 #31 / 73
Assists0.67 #234 / 1213 #16 / 73
Saves1.3 #466 / 1213 #34 / 73
Demos1.1 #329 / 1213 #28 / 73

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (30 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (69 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10454 16378 16429 16429 16310 – 16548
Goals 21 33 33 35 28 – 39
Assists 20 31 31 31 26 – 36
Saves 39 61 62 63 54 – 69
Shots 88 138 137 139 126 – 148
Demos 33 52 52 51 46 – 59
MVPs 2 3 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 21 /100

From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 385.0
Avg boost 45.0
Boost stolen / game 473.9
% time at 0 boost 12.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1505.9
% supersonic 13.6%
% time high in air 5.2%
Avg distance to ball 2834.9
% time attacking third 21.1%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.5
Shooting % 19.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Premier13 0.850.312.08 362
S21Premier1 1.01.01.0 383
S25Master56 1.120.771.68 409
S26Premier30 0.70.671.3 385

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~83 OVR High confidence — inferred from 121 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 96.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)24831010-917 52% 395
RSC (official)182-11 15% 409
Non-RSC ranked 3v312147-51 48% 359
Non-RSC other2344961-855 53% 396

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.7 0.76 0.73 – 0.83
Assists/game0.67 0.63 0.6 – 0.69
Saves/game1.3 1.31 1.23 – 1.38
Shots/game2.93 2.77 2.69 – 2.88

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Dusk S26Prospect 0.750.621.38 0.76
Phelpsy S24Elite 0.840.61.36 0.80
saltybikini S24Elite 0.670.631.37 0.86
Bolbi S26Elite 0.690.621.38 0.92
Nehtaro S18Master 0.750.671.25 0.95
Ex ample S23Challenger 0.70.61.18 0.98
Foam S24Master 0.760.671.14 0.99
lovegreyhounds S25Master 0.660.761.31 1.00
Lukemsnookems S23Rival 0.80.621.17 1.00
Crazics S22Veteran 0.760.591.43 1.02

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.