Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 320.71 | 6735 |
|
| Goals | 0.67 | 14 |
|
| Assists | 0.48 | 10 |
|
| Saves | 1.57 | 33 |
|
| Shots | 2.33 | 49 |
|
| Demos | 1.1 | 23 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 320.71 | #643 / 1215 | #103 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.67 | #601 / 1215 | #91 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.48 | #597 / 1215 | #89 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.57 | #186 / 1215 | #41 / 179 |
| Demos | 1.1 | #331 / 1215 | #49 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (21 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (113 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6735 | 11866 | 12016 | 12016 | 11900 – 12132 |
| Goals | 14 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 20 – 30 |
| Assists | 10 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 14 – 23 |
| Saves | 33 | 58 | 57 | 56 | 49 – 65 |
| Shots | 49 | 86 | 87 | 89 | 77 – 97 |
| Demos | 23 | 41 | 40 | 39 | 34 – 47 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 436.1 |
| Avg boost | 50.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 569.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1523.6 |
| % supersonic | 12.6% |
| % time high in air | 3.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3104.6 |
| % time attacking third | 20.7% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 26.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Prospect | 12 | 1.08 | 0.75 | 1.17 | 376 |
| S22 | Rival | 3 | 0.67 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 403 |
| S23 | Rival | 64 | 0.83 | 0.89 | 1.25 | 432 |
| S24 | Elite | 37 | 0.73 | 0.57 | 1.19 | 415 |
| S26 | Elite | 21 | 0.67 | 0.48 | 1.57 | 436 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.68 – 0.78 |
| Assists/game | 0.48 | 0.5 | 0.45 – 0.56 |
| Saves/game | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.39 – 1.61 |
| Shots/game | 2.33 | 2.35 | 2.23 – 2.54 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rule | S25 | Premier | 0.69 | 0.38 | 1.54 | 0.83 |
| Axlos (Goofy and Silly) | S24 | Elite | 0.67 | 0.49 | 1.42 | 0.84 |
| SmithRL. | S23 | Veteran | 0.71 | 0.55 | 1.61 | 0.89 |
| DribblingPenguin | S17 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.75 | 0.91 |
| mxWEBBY | S21 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.4 | 1.55 | 0.91 |
| qFoal | S26 | Challenger | 0.47 | 0.56 | 1.59 | 0.96 |
| Wafe | S14 | Elite | 0.46 | 0.36 | 1.64 | 1.09 |
| Murleaux | S26 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.67 | 1.13 |
| PumPum | S23 | Rival | 0.7 | 0.59 | 1.39 | 1.13 |
| Pablo v2 | S20 | Prospect | 0.68 | 0.57 | 1.26 | 1.14 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.