Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 332.0 | 7636 |
|
| Goals | 0.7 | 16 |
|
| Assists | 0.52 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 1.17 | 27 |
|
| Shots | 2.22 | 51 |
|
| Demos | 1.48 | 34 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 332.0 | #564 / 1215 | #67 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.7 | #563 / 1215 | #80 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.52 | #498 / 1215 | #67 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.17 | #604 / 1215 | #70 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.48 | #148 / 1215 | #11 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (127 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7636 | 12616 | 12611 | 12611 | 12500 – 12721 |
| Goals | 16 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 21 – 32 |
| Assists | 12 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 – 24 |
| Saves | 27 | 45 | 45 | 46 | 38 – 51 |
| Shots | 51 | 84 | 85 | 83 | 76 – 94 |
| Demos | 34 | 56 | 54 | 56 | 47 – 61 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 447.0 |
| Avg boost | 52.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 669.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1631.1 |
| % supersonic | 21.4% |
| % time high in air | 3.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2959.8 |
| % time attacking third | 21.5% |
| Demos / game | 1.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 31.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Contender | 28 | 0.71 | 0.89 | 1.14 | 388 |
| S22 | Prospect | 6 | 0.83 | 1.0 | 1.17 | 432 |
| S23 | Challenger | 18 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.44 | 425 |
| S24 | Challenger | 50 | 0.64 | 0.36 | 1.64 | 438 |
| S25 | Prospect | 31 | 0.58 | 0.42 | 1.58 | 455 |
| S26 | Prospect | 23 | 0.7 | 0.52 | 1.17 | 447 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.7 | 0.71 | 0.65 – 0.78 |
| Assists/game | 0.52 | 0.5 | 0.46 – 0.59 |
| Saves/game | 1.17 | 1.22 | 1.08 – 1.41 |
| Shots/game | 2.22 | 2.44 | 2.3 – 2.62 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TyrannosaurusPapercut781 | S23 | Premier | 0.71 | 0.59 | 1.23 | 0.96 |
| DJ | S23 | Elite | 0.78 | 0.56 | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Dxso(?) | S22 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.61 | 1.33 | 1.12 |
| Nahzey | S19 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.58 | 1.08 | 1.21 |
| Dizz5625 | S26 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.4 | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| Mystikal | S24 | Premier | 0.8 | 0.49 | 1.02 | 1.29 |
| GIANT-LION-BIRD | S26 | Challenger | 0.68 | 0.57 | 1.04 | 1.31 |
| GAVALANCHE | S22 | Premier | 0.83 | 0.6 | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Ahmed_SA23 | S21 | Elite | 0.61 | 0.67 | 1.11 | 1.35 |
| Melon | S21 | Veteran | 0.81 | 0.42 | 1.31 | 1.35 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.