Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 277.77 | 8333 |
|
| Goals | 0.5 | 15 |
|
| Assists | 0.37 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.4 | 42 |
|
| Shots | 2.07 | 62 |
|
| Demos | 1.07 | 32 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 277.77 | #833 / 1215 | #109 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.5 | #791 / 1215 | #110 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.37 | #783 / 1215 | #108 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.4 | #355 / 1215 | #36 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.07 | #351 / 1215 | #41 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (30 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (41 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8333 | 13888 | 14111 | 14111 | 13990 – 14231 |
| Goals | 15 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 21 – 31 |
| Assists | 11 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 15 – 24 |
| Saves | 42 | 70 | 69 | 68 | 61 – 77 |
| Shots | 62 | 103 | 105 | 105 | 94 – 115 |
| Demos | 32 | 53 | 53 | 52 | 46 – 60 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 366.3 |
| Avg boost | 53.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 333.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1452.2 |
| % supersonic | 11.2% |
| % time high in air | 3.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3164.5 |
| % time attacking third | 15.5% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 25.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Prospect | 41 | 0.71 | 0.42 | 1.1 | 367 |
| S26 | Prospect | 28 | 0.5 | 0.36 | 1.5 | 366 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.44 – 0.6 |
| Assists/game | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.33 – 0.42 |
| Saves/game | 1.5 | 1.49 | 1.38 – 1.56 |
| Shots/game | 2.11 | 1.96 | 1.8 – 2.19 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mogulmaniac5480 | S24 | Veteran | 0.42 | 0.38 | 1.5 | 0.85 |
| Pana | S22 | Veteran | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.65 | 0.99 |
| st3althyninja1 | S25 | Challenger | 0.56 | 0.46 | 1.49 | 1.06 |
| Evil Gooby | S22 | Veteran | 0.45 | 0.31 | 1.56 | 1.08 |
| T_i_m_o_g | S18 | Amateur | 0.37 | 0.34 | 1.49 | 1.15 |
| Chronicle | S24 | Challenger | 0.48 | 0.37 | 1.78 | 1.20 |
| I_am.Dan | S26 | Prospect | 0.5 | 0.43 | 1.57 | 1.20 |
| Pokeninja77 | S17 | Prospect | 0.42 | 0.32 | 1.47 | 1.22 |
| superstrikzz | S21 | Contender | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Salty Num Num | S25 | Contender | 0.64 | 0.36 | 1.41 | 1.28 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.