I_am.Dan

Prospect - Blacksmiths - 5-9 (0.357)
👤 Career - also played as I _amDan
18 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 14 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 18/100 Tier dominance: 13th (-1.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
0
0% of games
Shot %
20%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 316.43 4430
39th
Goals 0.5 7
14th
Assists 0.43 6
26th
Saves 1.57 22
86th
Shots 2.5 35
53rd
Demos 1.07 15
70th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points316.43 #668 / 1215 #81 / 161
Goals0.5 #791 / 1215 #110 / 161
Assists0.43 #685 / 1215 #95 / 161
Saves1.57 #186 / 1215 #16 / 161
Demos1.07 #349 / 1215 #40 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (14 → ~23 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (45 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 4430 7278 7324 7324 7242 – 7406
Goals 7 12 12 12 9 – 16
Assists 6 10 10 11 7 – 13
Saves 22 36 35 34 29 – 40
Shots 35 58 57 57 50 – 64
Demos 15 25 24 23 20 – 29
MVPs 0 0 1 1 0 – 2

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 23 /100

From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 352.7
Avg boost 48.5
Boost stolen / game 449.6
% time at 0 boost 10.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1427.0
% supersonic 10.4%
% time high in air 2.7%
Avg distance to ball 3095.8
% time attacking third 17.3%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 24.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Prospect20 0.650.70.7 328
S25Prospect25 0.560.81.16 355
S26Prospect14 0.50.431.57 353

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.5 0.56 0.5 – 0.64
Assists/game0.43 0.46 0.41 – 0.48
Saves/game1.57 1.53 1.42 – 1.6
Shots/game2.5 2.25 2.19 – 2.36

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Fomayy S18Elite 0.550.461.36 0.82
Chicken S24Veteran 0.670.451.48 0.93
Lorak S22Challenger 0.670.481.48 0.93
(P|F)ineapple S26Elite 0.560.561.56 0.95
ReedyOrange S23Veteran 0.480.561.56 0.95
superstrikzz S25Contender 0.510.411.53 0.96
mogulmaniac5480 S24Veteran 0.420.381.5 1.09
Pana S22Veteran 0.350.351.65 1.14
Thunderbolt S23Rival 0.310.381.54 1.18
mogulmaniac5480 S25Rival 0.650.291.35 1.20

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.