Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 316.43 | 4430 |
|
| Goals | 0.5 | 7 |
|
| Assists | 0.43 | 6 |
|
| Saves | 1.57 | 22 |
|
| Shots | 2.5 | 35 |
|
| Demos | 1.07 | 15 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 316.43 | #668 / 1215 | #81 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.5 | #791 / 1215 | #110 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.43 | #685 / 1215 | #95 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.57 | #186 / 1215 | #16 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.07 | #349 / 1215 | #40 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (14 → ~23 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (45 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4430 | 7278 | 7324 | 7324 | 7242 – 7406 |
| Goals | 7 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 – 16 |
| Assists | 6 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 – 13 |
| Saves | 22 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 29 – 40 |
| Shots | 35 | 58 | 57 | 57 | 50 – 64 |
| Demos | 15 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 20 – 29 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 – 2 |
From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 352.7 |
| Avg boost | 48.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 449.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1427.0 |
| % supersonic | 10.4% |
| % time high in air | 2.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3095.8 |
| % time attacking third | 17.3% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 24.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Prospect | 20 | 0.65 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 328 |
| S25 | Prospect | 25 | 0.56 | 0.8 | 1.16 | 355 |
| S26 | Prospect | 14 | 0.5 | 0.43 | 1.57 | 353 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.5 | 0.56 | 0.5 – 0.64 |
| Assists/game | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.41 – 0.48 |
| Saves/game | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.42 – 1.6 |
| Shots/game | 2.5 | 2.25 | 2.19 – 2.36 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fomayy | S18 | Elite | 0.55 | 0.46 | 1.36 | 0.82 |
| Chicken | S24 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.45 | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| Lorak | S22 | Challenger | 0.67 | 0.48 | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| (P|F)ineapple | S26 | Elite | 0.56 | 0.56 | 1.56 | 0.95 |
| ReedyOrange | S23 | Veteran | 0.48 | 0.56 | 1.56 | 0.95 |
| superstrikzz | S25 | Contender | 0.51 | 0.41 | 1.53 | 0.96 |
| mogulmaniac5480 | S24 | Veteran | 0.42 | 0.38 | 1.5 | 1.09 |
| Pana | S22 | Veteran | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.65 | 1.14 |
| Thunderbolt | S23 | Rival | 0.31 | 0.38 | 1.54 | 1.18 |
| mogulmaniac5480 | S25 | Rival | 0.65 | 0.29 | 1.35 | 1.20 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.