Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 319.83 | 9595 |
|
| Goals | 0.7 | 21 |
|
| Assists | 0.6 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 0.87 | 26 |
|
| Shots | 2.47 | 74 |
|
| Demos | 1.17 | 35 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 319.83 | #648 / 1215 | #104 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.7 | #553 / 1215 | #83 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.6 | #344 / 1215 | #56 / 179 |
| Saves | 0.87 | #853 / 1215 | #120 / 179 |
| Demos | 1.17 | #283 / 1215 | #43 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (30 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (285 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9595 | 16951 | 17119 | 17119 | 16979 – 17260 |
| Goals | 21 | 37 | 37 | 36 | 31 – 44 |
| Assists | 18 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 26 – 38 |
| Saves | 26 | 46 | 48 | 49 | 41 – 56 |
| Shots | 74 | 131 | 131 | 127 | 119 – 144 |
| Demos | 35 | 62 | 61 | 63 | 53 – 70 |
| MVPs | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 – 12 |
From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 390.8 |
| Avg boost | 49.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 455.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1574.8 |
| % supersonic | 16.1% |
| % time high in air | 5.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2950.2 |
| % time attacking third | 17.8% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 23.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 15 | 0.87 | 0.6 | 0.73 | 382 |
| S21 | Rival | 27 | 0.48 | 0.63 | 1.15 | 380 |
| S22 | Veteran | 64 | 0.45 | 0.31 | 1.56 | 380 |
| S23 | Veteran | 60 | 0.5 | 0.52 | 1.48 | 392 |
| S24 | Elite | 59 | 0.52 | 0.71 | 1.34 | 406 |
| S25 | Elite | 60 | 0.4 | 0.38 | 1.25 | 409 |
| S26 | Elite | 26 | 0.62 | 0.5 | 0.81 | 391 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.61 | 0.67 | 0.6 – 0.77 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.46 | 0.42 – 0.55 |
| Saves/game | 0.81 | 1.04 | 0.95 – 1.08 |
| Shots/game | 2.35 | 2.35 | 2.18 – 2.5 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smurflss | S20 | Challenger | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Beretta | S25 | Elite | 0.77 | 0.58 | 1.1 | 1.29 |
| wall2wall3 | S26 | Master | 0.64 | 0.43 | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| Nahzey | S21 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.53 | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| p4rka. | S24 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.53 | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| Sinjaaa. | S21 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.36 | 1.0 | 1.33 |
| AquaP | S22 | Veteran | 0.82 | 0.44 | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| FrostyBrew | S25 | Elite | 0.46 | 0.42 | 1.0 | 1.35 |
| Pokeninja77 | S26 | Challenger | 0.55 | 0.46 | 1.09 | 1.38 |
| Ryzor | S25 | Amateur | 0.77 | 0.46 | 1.08 | 1.39 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.