Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 277.12 | 6928 |
|
| Goals | 0.6 | 15 |
|
| Assists | 0.32 | 8 |
|
| Saves | 1.08 | 27 |
|
| Shots | 1.92 | 48 |
|
| Demos | 0.68 | 17 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 277.12 | #835 / 1215 | #88 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.6 | #692 / 1215 | #74 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.32 | #843 / 1215 | #95 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.08 | #706 / 1215 | #65 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.68 | #692 / 1215 | #65 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (25 → ~39 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (60 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6928 | 10808 | 10943 | 10943 | 10846 – 11040 |
| Goals | 15 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 19 – 28 |
| Assists | 8 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 10 – 17 |
| Saves | 27 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 36 – 48 |
| Shots | 48 | 75 | 76 | 75 | 68 – 84 |
| Demos | 17 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 22 – 32 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 262.3 |
| Avg boost | 48.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 404.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1360.5 |
| % supersonic | 5.6% |
| % time high in air | 1.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3191.9 |
| % time attacking third | 22.1% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 38.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Amateur | 12 | 1.08 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 295 |
| S21 | Amateur | 24 | 0.88 | 0.96 | 1.33 | 282 |
| S22 | Contender | 24 | 0.5 | 0.46 | 0.71 | 279 |
| S26 | Contender | 21 | 0.62 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 262 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.62 | 0.65 | 0.53 – 0.68 |
| Assists/game | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.32 – 0.47 |
| Saves/game | 1.0 | 0.97 | 0.88 – 1.06 |
| Shots/game | 1.95 | 1.9 | 1.81 – 2.12 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gambit | S25 | Prospect | 0.49 | 0.4 | 1.05 | 0.94 |
| Pad1wanX | S19 | Amateur | 0.74 | 0.51 | 0.92 | 1.13 |
| im_link42 | S25 | Contender | 0.65 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.20 |
| Willlm. | S23 | Challenger | 0.54 | 0.31 | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| MysticMax07 | S21 | Prospect | 0.73 | 0.41 | 0.73 | 1.25 |
| DefNotMongo. | S20 | Prospect | 0.44 | 0.28 | 1.25 | 1.27 |
| chrisofspades | S23 | Amateur | 0.57 | 0.46 | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| Pad1wanX | S18 | Amateur | 0.42 | 0.32 | 0.9 | 1.28 |
| Primed | S22 | Challenger | 0.56 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.29 |
| Merioch | S26 | Prospect | 0.65 | 0.4 | 1.25 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.