Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 327.68 | 9175 |
|
| Goals | 0.86 | 24 |
|
| Assists | 0.61 | 17 |
|
| Saves | 1.11 | 31 |
|
| Shots | 2.93 | 82 |
|
| Demos | 0.54 | 15 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 327.68 | #600 / 1215 | #92 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.86 | #306 / 1215 | #46 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.61 | #334 / 1215 | #48 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.11 | #678 / 1215 | #107 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.54 | #790 / 1215 | #117 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (194 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9175 | 16384 | 16450 | 16450 | 16311 – 16589 |
| Goals | 24 | 43 | 42 | 44 | 35 – 49 |
| Assists | 17 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 24 – 36 |
| Saves | 31 | 55 | 57 | 56 | 48 – 65 |
| Shots | 82 | 146 | 144 | 147 | 131 – 157 |
| Demos | 15 | 27 | 29 | 26 | 23 – 35 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 10 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 310.7 |
| Avg boost | 50.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 449.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1477.9 |
| % supersonic | 9.9% |
| % time high in air | 3.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2960.4 |
| % time attacking third | 23.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 28.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 15 | 1.27 | 0.47 | 1.07 | 269 |
| S23 | Rival | 60 | 1.05 | 0.6 | 1.33 | 290 |
| S24 | Rival | 60 | 0.9 | 0.68 | 0.95 | 305 |
| S25 | Rival | 59 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.12 | 302 |
| S26 | Rival | 24 | 0.88 | 0.62 | 1.08 | 311 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.88 | 0.9 | 0.87 – 0.97 |
| Assists/game | 0.62 | 0.61 | 0.55 – 0.7 |
| Saves/game | 1.08 | 1.0 | 0.95 – 1.22 |
| Shots/game | 3.17 | 2.95 | 2.91 – 3.05 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EyeSucka | S24 | Rival | 0.9 | 0.68 | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Marcus. | S13 | Elite | 0.81 | 0.69 | 1.0 | 1.03 |
| x ARC Fives x | S20 | Challenger | 0.91 | 0.46 | 1.0 | 1.08 |
| Wild Thing | S24 | Rival | 0.87 | 0.56 | 0.98 | 1.14 |
| DaScrappyDoo | S20 | Challenger | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.14 |
| Riko | S24 | Rival | 0.79 | 0.55 | 1.31 | 1.16 |
| Cronus | S13 | Challenger | 0.88 | 0.69 | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| Flyerrr85 | S24 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.75 | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| JoeExotic | S26 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| JazzMagic. | S25 | Rival | 0.97 | 0.58 | 1.11 | 1.25 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.