Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 273.3 | 2733 |
|
| Goals | 0.8 | 8 |
|
| Assists | 0.1 | 1 |
|
| Saves | 1.1 | 11 |
|
| Shots | 2.2 | 22 |
|
| Demos | 1.1 | 11 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Amateur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 273.3 | #845 / 1215 | #30 / 61 |
| Goals | 0.8 | #391 / 1215 | #19 / 61 |
| Assists | 0.1 | #925 / 1215 | #45 / 61 |
| Saves | 1.1 | #683 / 1215 | #10 / 61 |
| Demos | 1.1 | #327 / 1215 | #10 / 61 |
69% of the season is played (10 → ~14 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (84 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 2733 | 3826 | 3868 | 3868 | 3820 – 3916 |
| Goals | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 – 14 |
| Assists | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 3 |
| Saves | 11 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 – 18 |
| Shots | 22 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 26 – 35 |
| Demos | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 – 17 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 – 1 |
From 7 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.
| Boost / min | 327.8 |
| Avg boost | 49.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 353.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 17.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1417.6 |
| % supersonic | 7.6% |
| % time high in air | 1.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2895.5 |
| % time attacking third | 21.3% |
| Demos / game | 1.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 37.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Amateur | 7 | 0.14 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 322 |
| S22 | Amateur | 47 | 0.7 | 0.43 | 0.7 | 318 |
| S24 | Amateur | 4 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 334 |
| S25 | Amateur | 37 | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.84 | 351 |
| S26 | Amateur | 7 | 0.71 | 0.0 | 1.14 | 328 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.7 | 0.65 | 0.62 – 0.75 |
| Assists/game | 0.43 | 0.5 | 0.42 – 0.53 |
| Saves/game | 0.7 | 0.81 | 0.7 – 0.94 |
| Shots/game | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.79 – 2.07 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russ | S26 | Contender | 0.7 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 0.96 |
| im_link42 | S25 | Contender | 0.65 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.16 |
| Theman | S26 | Contender | 0.72 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.18 |
| Mitzi | S26 | Prospect | 0.55 | 0.41 | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| YERP_YERP02 | S17 | Amateur | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.73 | 1.29 |
| Abeillonnaise | S24 | Rival | 0.68 | 0.46 | 0.91 | 1.31 |
| Brillo_padd | S24 | Challenger | 0.76 | 0.36 | 0.76 | 1.33 |
| Emily26210 | S23 | Amateur | 0.7 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 1.34 |
| FULLBL00DN8V | S25 | Amateur | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.84 | 1.37 |
| Nuummite | S20 | Elite | 0.64 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.40 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.