Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 352.17 | 8100 |
|
| Goals | 1.0 | 23 |
|
| Assists | 0.65 | 15 |
|
| Saves | 0.87 | 20 |
|
| Shots | 2.61 | 60 |
|
| Demos | 0.96 | 22 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 352.17 | #407 / 1215 | #48 / 161 |
| Goals | 1.0 | #132 / 1215 | #19 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.65 | #269 / 1215 | #35 / 161 |
| Saves | 0.87 | #852 / 1215 | #114 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.96 | #462 / 1215 | #57 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (170 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8100 | 13383 | 13299 | 13299 | 13187 – 13412 |
| Goals | 23 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 31 – 43 |
| Assists | 15 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 20 – 29 |
| Saves | 20 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 28 – 40 |
| Shots | 60 | 99 | 98 | 98 | 89 – 108 |
| Demos | 22 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 30 – 42 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 19 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 367.1 |
| Avg boost | 49.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 411.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1446.4 |
| % supersonic | 9.7% |
| % time high in air | 2.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3078.2 |
| % time attacking third | 19.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 37.2% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Contender | 11 | 0.82 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 360 |
| S21 | Contender | 48 | 1.12 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 389 |
| S22 | Prospect | 2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 355 |
| S23 | Prospect | 60 | 0.75 | 0.45 | 0.9 | 378 |
| S24 | Challenger | 51 | 0.76 | 0.72 | 1.02 | 374 |
| S26 | Prospect | 19 | 1.05 | 0.63 | 0.9 | 367 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.05 | 0.94 | 0.9 – 1.02 |
| Assists/game | 0.63 | 0.6 | 0.56 – 0.62 |
| Saves/game | 0.9 | 0.95 | 0.82 – 1.06 |
| Shots/game | 2.63 | 2.64 | 2.5 – 2.81 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| deneyed | S17 | Contender | 1.19 | 0.62 | 1.06 | 0.93 |
| SNOWIS | S23 | Rival | 0.87 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 1.01 |
| turboalpaca | S20 | Challenger | 1.06 | 0.61 | 0.78 | 1.04 |
| Larkspur | S26 | Prospect | 0.94 | 0.52 | 1.0 | 1.04 |
| Light | S23 | Rival | 0.98 | 0.56 | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| StruttRL | S22 | Challenger | 1.05 | 0.6 | 1.05 | 1.07 |
| Unc Jeebs | S26 | Challenger | 0.94 | 0.61 | 1.03 | 1.09 |
| Wrychew | S18 | Contender | 1.18 | 0.55 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| jizko | S25 | Challenger | 0.94 | 0.69 | 0.96 | 1.13 |
| LoneDrifter. | S26 | Prospect | 0.84 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.14 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.