Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 335.78 | 12088 |
|
| Goals | 0.86 | 31 |
|
| Assists | 0.61 | 22 |
|
| Saves | 0.97 | 35 |
|
| Shots | 2.83 | 102 |
|
| Demos | 0.72 | 26 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 335.78 | #532 / 1215 | #63 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.86 | #301 / 1215 | #44 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.61 | #318 / 1215 | #42 / 161 |
| Saves | 0.97 | #797 / 1215 | #104 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.72 | #663 / 1215 | #85 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (36 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (183 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12088 | 20147 | 20124 | 20124 | 19981 – 20267 |
| Goals | 31 | 52 | 51 | 52 | 44 – 58 |
| Assists | 22 | 37 | 36 | 36 | 30 – 42 |
| Saves | 35 | 58 | 59 | 60 | 52 – 67 |
| Shots | 102 | 170 | 168 | 169 | 155 – 181 |
| Demos | 26 | 43 | 44 | 44 | 37 – 51 |
| MVPs | 9 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 11 – 18 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 372.9 |
| Avg boost | 50.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 514.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1474.5 |
| % supersonic | 12.0% |
| % time high in air | 3.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3037.1 |
| % time attacking third | 20.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 28.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Prospect | 7 | 0.57 | 0.14 | 1.14 | 319 |
| S22 | Prospect | 12 | 1.42 | 0.42 | 1.42 | 359 |
| S23 | Challenger | 53 | 0.96 | 0.49 | 1.19 | 356 |
| S24 | Challenger | 58 | 0.79 | 0.6 | 1.22 | 372 |
| S25 | Challenger | 60 | 0.78 | 0.47 | 1.27 | 385 |
| S26 | Prospect | 32 | 0.84 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 373 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.83 – 0.9 |
| Assists/game | 0.62 | 0.61 | 0.54 – 0.69 |
| Saves/game | 0.88 | 1.05 | 1.0 – 1.07 |
| Shots/game | 2.78 | 2.69 | 2.6 – 2.75 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOWIS | S23 | Rival | 0.87 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 0.73 |
| Dirt D Dan | S24 | Veteran | 0.86 | 0.61 | 0.93 | 0.85 |
| CN Tyson | S23 | Challenger | 0.85 | 0.62 | 1.0 | 0.85 |
| doctorprofessor_ | S22 | Challenger | 0.83 | 0.65 | 0.7 | 0.87 |
| GeneralZippy | S26 | Premier | 0.74 | 0.64 | 1.06 | 0.89 |
| MICKSTERY | S20 | Prospect | 0.9 | 0.53 | 1.02 | 0.90 |
| ascreaus | S20 | Challenger | 0.81 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.91 |
| DaZed.Purity | S26 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.54 | 0.79 | 0.91 |
| Dino incarnate | S24 | Prospect | 0.85 | 0.54 | 1.17 | 0.96 |
| Pivot97 | S20 | Prospect | 0.83 | 0.46 | 1.03 | 0.99 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.