Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 351.0 | 11232 |
|
| Goals | 0.78 | 25 |
|
| Assists | 0.59 | 19 |
|
| Saves | 1.06 | 34 |
|
| Shots | 2.41 | 77 |
|
| Demos | 1.03 | 33 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 351.0 | #416 / 1215 | #50 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.78 | #421 / 1215 | #60 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.59 | #366 / 1215 | #49 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.06 | #718 / 1215 | #92 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.03 | #380 / 1215 | #45 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (136 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11232 | 18603 | 18517 | 18517 | 18382 – 18652 |
| Goals | 25 | 41 | 41 | 42 | 35 – 48 |
| Assists | 19 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 26 – 37 |
| Saves | 34 | 56 | 57 | 57 | 49 – 65 |
| Shots | 77 | 128 | 127 | 127 | 116 – 139 |
| Demos | 33 | 55 | 54 | 55 | 47 – 61 |
| MVPs | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 – 13 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 371.6 |
| Avg boost | 40.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 557.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 16.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1461.8 |
| % supersonic | 9.9% |
| % time high in air | 3.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2795.7 |
| % time attacking third | 22.3% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 35.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Contender | 8 | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.62 | 322 |
| S21 | Contender | 41 | 0.88 | 0.63 | 0.93 | 370 |
| S22 | Prospect | 10 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 334 |
| S23 | Challenger | 20 | 1.25 | 0.45 | 1.55 | 362 |
| S25 | Challenger | 57 | 0.75 | 0.56 | 1.19 | 356 |
| S26 | Prospect | 32 | 0.78 | 0.59 | 1.06 | 372 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.78 | 0.8 | 0.68 – 0.86 |
| Assists/game | 0.59 | 0.56 | 0.53 – 0.58 |
| Saves/game | 1.06 | 1.1 | 1.04 – 1.17 |
| Shots/game | 2.41 | 2.45 | 2.37 – 2.53 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChefHoffy | S25 | Rival | 0.83 | 0.58 | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| ChefHoffy | S22 | Challenger | 0.77 | 0.54 | 1.0 | 0.77 |
| GFC-RAIDER | S25 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.56 | 1.19 | 0.79 |
| DeathFletch | S22 | Veteran | 0.81 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 0.81 |
| Pure_Pusher | S24 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.57 | 0.91 | 0.84 |
| Metatonixz | S22 | Veteran | 0.7 | 0.57 | 1.11 | 0.85 |
| AZoroARK | S21 | Contender | 0.86 | 0.52 | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| AZoroARK | S26 | Contender | 0.75 | 0.56 | 1.16 | 0.93 |
| vAirwick | S24 | Rival | 0.91 | 0.62 | 1.13 | 0.99 |
| Dondo RF | S22 | Challenger | 0.91 | 0.5 | 1.15 | 0.99 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.