Goofball.-.

Prospect - Fairies - 16-20 (0.444)
25 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 36 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 25/100 Tier dominance: 62nd (+0.3 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
14% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 375.44 13516
80th
Goals 0.89 32
72nd
Assists 0.44 16
34th
Saves 1.36 49
67th
Shots 3.22 116
95th
Demos 0.67 24
30th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points375.44 #239 / 1215 #27 / 161
Goals0.89 #261 / 1215 #37 / 161
Assists0.44 #648 / 1215 #86 / 161
Saves1.36 #403 / 1215 #44 / 161
Demos0.67 #696 / 1215 #88 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (36 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (56 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 13516 22527 22331 22331 22181 – 22481
Goals 32 53 53 53 45 – 60
Assists 16 27 27 27 22 – 32
Saves 49 82 81 82 72 – 90
Shots 116 193 190 190 176 – 203
Demos 24 40 41 42 35 – 48
MVPs 5 8 8 8 5 – 11

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 50 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 365.2
Avg boost 52.9
Boost stolen / game 599.2
% time at 0 boost 10.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1483.4
% supersonic 11.1%
% time high in air 5.1%
Avg distance to ball 3184.1
% time attacking third 21.1%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 29.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Prospect56 0.770.481.39 332
S26Prospect32 0.880.51.28 365

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.88 0.9 0.87 – 0.98
Assists/game0.5 0.53 0.5 – 0.58
Saves/game1.28 1.29 1.17 – 1.37
Shots/game3.12 2.98 2.83 – 3.19

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
YaBoyTonnuh S20Veteran 0.870.531.13 0.76
diehard_mma S26Prospect 0.870.551.45 0.77
Crucified6856 S24Challenger 0.980.511.34 0.81
XtraCrispyRL S25Rival 0.820.481.15 0.83
Juicy SYN S23Elite 0.910.481.16 0.86
Bushier Brow S23Rival 0.980.491.32 0.88
D_e_r_k S24Challenger 0.870.531.23 0.88
JazzMagic. S23Rival 0.90.391.46 0.88
Gama The Dwarf S24Rival 1.00.531.23 0.91
JazzMagic. S25Rival 0.970.581.11 0.93

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.