Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 392.6 | 13741 |
|
| Goals | 0.8 | 28 |
|
| Assists | 0.51 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 1.57 | 55 |
|
| Shots | 3.2 | 112 |
|
| Demos | 0.6 | 21 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 392.6 | #147 / 1215 | #19 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.8 | #391 / 1215 | #56 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.51 | #513 / 1215 | #70 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.57 | #186 / 1215 | #16 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.6 | #751 / 1215 | #99 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (35 → ~58 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (114 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 13741 | 22771 | 22505 | 22505 | 22357 – 22654 |
| Goals | 28 | 46 | 46 | 48 | 39 – 53 |
| Assists | 18 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 24 – 35 |
| Saves | 55 | 91 | 90 | 87 | 80 – 99 |
| Shots | 112 | 186 | 182 | 184 | 169 – 195 |
| Demos | 21 | 35 | 36 | 36 | 30 – 42 |
| MVPs | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 – 16 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 361.3 |
| Avg boost | 52.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 510.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1488.8 |
| % supersonic | 9.1% |
| % time high in air | 3.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2956.7 |
| % time attacking third | 21.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.7 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 28.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Prospect | 12 | 1.58 | 0.25 | 1.17 | 359 |
| S23 | Challenger | 45 | 1.04 | 0.56 | 0.82 | 333 |
| S24 | Challenger | 57 | 0.88 | 0.42 | 1.0 | 352 |
| S25 | Challenger | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 334 |
| S26 | Prospect | 31 | 0.87 | 0.55 | 1.45 | 361 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.87 | 0.91 | 0.88 – 1.0 |
| Assists/game | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.52 – 0.58 |
| Saves/game | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.35 – 1.5 |
| Shots/game | 3.19 | 3.15 | 2.91 – 3.24 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taunt | S24 | Veteran | 0.88 | 0.55 | 1.55 | 0.63 |
| Goofball.-. | S26 | Prospect | 0.88 | 0.5 | 1.28 | 0.77 |
| Sholonk | S23 | Elite | 0.89 | 0.59 | 1.33 | 0.92 |
| Hawkish | S22 | Veteran | 0.96 | 0.54 | 1.35 | 0.99 |
| Shraxl | S26 | Veteran | 0.94 | 0.59 | 1.5 | 1.00 |
| Crucified6856 | S24 | Challenger | 0.98 | 0.51 | 1.34 | 1.01 |
| JazzMagic. | S23 | Rival | 0.9 | 0.39 | 1.46 | 1.01 |
| C01E01 | S24 | Elite | 1.02 | 0.58 | 1.44 | 1.02 |
| Armando | S21 | Rival | 0.9 | 0.58 | 1.47 | 1.02 |
| SSpekky | S23 | Elite | 0.92 | 0.52 | 1.59 | 1.02 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.