diehard_mma

Prospect - River Wolves - 17-18 (0.486)
👤 Career - also played as St-_-Marc, Marc_Byy_8
25 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 35 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 25/100 Tier dominance: 65th (+0.4 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
8
23% of games
Shot %
25%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 392.6 13741
86th
Goals 0.8 28
56th
Assists 0.51 18
47th
Saves 1.57 55
86th
Shots 3.2 112
95th
Demos 0.6 21
25th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points392.6 #147 / 1215 #19 / 161
Goals0.8 #391 / 1215 #56 / 161
Assists0.51 #513 / 1215 #70 / 161
Saves1.57 #186 / 1215 #16 / 161
Demos0.6 #751 / 1215 #99 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (35 → ~58 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (114 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 13741 22771 22505 22505 22357 – 22654
Goals 28 46 46 48 39 – 53
Assists 18 30 30 29 24 – 35
Saves 55 91 90 87 80 – 99
Shots 112 186 182 184 169 – 195
Demos 21 35 36 36 30 – 42
MVPs 8 13 13 13 9 – 16

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 59 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 361.3
Avg boost 52.1
Boost stolen / game 510.5
% time at 0 boost 7.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1488.8
% supersonic 9.1%
% time high in air 3.8%
Avg distance to ball 2956.7
% time attacking third 21.2%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 28.7%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S22Prospect12 1.580.251.17 359
S23Challenger45 1.040.560.82 333
S24Challenger57 0.880.421.0 352
S25Challenger1 1.00.00.0 334
S26Prospect31 0.870.551.45 361

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.87 0.91 0.88 – 1.0
Assists/game0.55 0.55 0.52 – 0.58
Saves/game1.45 1.43 1.35 – 1.5
Shots/game3.19 3.15 2.91 – 3.24

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Taunt S24Veteran 0.880.551.55 0.63
Goofball.-. S26Prospect 0.880.51.28 0.77
Sholonk S23Elite 0.890.591.33 0.92
Hawkish S22Veteran 0.960.541.35 0.99
Shraxl S26Veteran 0.940.591.5 1.00
Crucified6856 S24Challenger 0.980.511.34 1.01
JazzMagic. S23Rival 0.90.391.46 1.01
C01E01 S24Elite 1.020.581.44 1.02
Armando S21Rival 0.90.581.47 1.02
SSpekky S23Elite 0.920.521.59 1.02

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.