Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 369.68 | 11460 |
|
| Goals | 0.87 | 27 |
|
| Assists | 0.68 | 21 |
|
| Saves | 1.29 | 40 |
|
| Shots | 2.74 | 85 |
|
| Demos | 1.13 | 35 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Veteran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 369.68 | #279 / 1215 | #46 / 170 |
| Goals | 0.87 | #291 / 1215 | #45 / 170 |
| Assists | 0.68 | #225 / 1215 | #38 / 170 |
| Saves | 1.29 | #481 / 1215 | #83 / 170 |
| Demos | 1.13 | #311 / 1215 | #52 / 170 |
56% of the season is played (31 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (173 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11460 | 20332 | 20255 | 20255 | 20102 – 20408 |
| Goals | 27 | 48 | 47 | 48 | 40 – 55 |
| Assists | 21 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 30 – 43 |
| Saves | 40 | 71 | 71 | 70 | 62 – 81 |
| Shots | 85 | 151 | 150 | 152 | 137 – 163 |
| Demos | 35 | 62 | 62 | 61 | 53 – 70 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 – 8 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 338.6 |
| Avg boost | 47.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 510.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1467.4 |
| % supersonic | 9.8% |
| % time high in air | 4.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3177.3 |
| % time attacking third | 23.7% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 32.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Contender | 18 | 0.89 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 291 |
| S21 | Prospect | 8 | 0.88 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 296 |
| S22 | Prospect | 3 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 313 |
| S23 | Rival | 46 | 0.98 | 0.76 | 1.02 | 342 |
| S24 | Veteran | 49 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 1.35 | 349 |
| S25 | Veteran | 52 | 0.81 | 0.71 | 1.36 | 353 |
| S26 | Veteran | 27 | 0.93 | 0.74 | 1.11 | 339 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.93 | 0.89 | 0.83 – 0.98 |
| Assists/game | 0.74 | 0.7 | 0.65 – 0.76 |
| Saves/game | 1.11 | 1.1 | 1.0 – 1.24 |
| Shots/game | 2.96 | 2.93 | 2.8 – 3.0 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OG_Cuddles_ | S21 | Prospect | 0.82 | 0.82 | 1.04 | 0.85 |
| JoeExotic | S26 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| DaScrappyDoo | S20 | Challenger | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.02 |
| Frog_Boot | S22 | Veteran | 0.95 | 0.61 | 1.27 | 1.02 |
| Lewii jr. | S25 | Contender | 0.89 | 0.82 | 1.0 | 1.03 |
| Shraxl | S22 | Veteran | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Surge85 | S21 | Rival | 0.88 | 0.62 | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| GreatHonda | S25 | Veteran | 0.81 | 0.71 | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| GreatHonda | S23 | Rival | 0.98 | 0.76 | 1.02 | 1.08 |
| Rich-Rollin6060 | S20 | Amateur | 0.95 | 0.68 | 0.95 | 1.09 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.