Heimfari

Contender - Squeaky Bandits - 7-20 (0.259)
👤 Career - also played as Casca ., CascaUnbroken, Casca757
6 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 27 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 6/100 Tier dominance: 11th (-1.1 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
4% of games
Shot %
26%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 244.41 6599
7th
Goals 0.44 12
11th
Assists 0.59 16
73rd
Saves 0.7 19
9th
Shots 1.7 46
10th
Demos 0.63 17
39th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points244.41 #912 / 1215 #103 / 134
Goals0.44 #847 / 1215 #99 / 134
Assists0.59 #373 / 1215 #30 / 134
Saves0.7 #908 / 1215 #101 / 134
Demos0.63 #731 / 1215 #68 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (27 → ~42 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (235 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6599 10265 10514 10514 10418 – 10610
Goals 12 19 20 20 15 – 24
Assists 16 25 25 24 20 – 29
Saves 19 30 31 31 26 – 36
Shots 46 72 74 73 66 – 82
Demos 17 26 27 28 22 – 32
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 4 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 292.7
Avg boost 43.3
Boost stolen / game 486.4
% time at 0 boost 13.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1386.5
% supersonic 8.0%
% time high in air 2.1%
Avg distance to ball 3299.6
% time attacking third 19.7%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 0.6
Shooting % 24.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Amateur10 0.60.20.7 240
S21Amateur24 1.00.460.83 277
S22Amateur56 1.00.380.79 293
S23Prospect39 0.560.411.18 303
S24Prospect56 0.820.51.11 315
S25Contender50 0.560.420.82 297
S26Contender23 0.480.70.78 293

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.48 0.56 0.5 – 0.62
Assists/game0.7 0.56 0.5 – 0.62
Saves/game0.78 0.94 0.78 – 1.0
Shots/game1.83 1.77 1.68 – 1.87

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Merioch S20Rival 0.550.61.0 1.05
frankieeagle S26Contender 0.580.740.97 1.05
MoonKnight2 S26Contender 0.450.711.06 1.10
FfejGnak S14Amateur 0.350.560.78 1.19
Gmoney S26Prospect 0.380.731.0 1.21
Shootzy S19Amateur 0.570.520.68 1.22
Rob S22Prospect 0.620.560.94 1.24
Evil twin S21Contender 0.650.560.89 1.27
Darth Nefaris S20Prospect 0.490.470.85 1.31
BinBoiz S13Prospect 0.750.620.88 1.31

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.