Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 244.41 | 6599 |
|
| Goals | 0.44 | 12 |
|
| Assists | 0.59 | 16 |
|
| Saves | 0.7 | 19 |
|
| Shots | 1.7 | 46 |
|
| Demos | 0.63 | 17 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 244.41 | #912 / 1215 | #103 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.44 | #847 / 1215 | #99 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.59 | #373 / 1215 | #30 / 134 |
| Saves | 0.7 | #908 / 1215 | #101 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.63 | #731 / 1215 | #68 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (27 → ~42 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (235 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6599 | 10265 | 10514 | 10514 | 10418 – 10610 |
| Goals | 12 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 15 – 24 |
| Assists | 16 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 20 – 29 |
| Saves | 19 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 26 – 36 |
| Shots | 46 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 66 – 82 |
| Demos | 17 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 22 – 32 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 3 |
From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 292.7 |
| Avg boost | 43.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 486.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1386.5 |
| % supersonic | 8.0% |
| % time high in air | 2.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3299.6 |
| % time attacking third | 19.7% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 24.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Amateur | 10 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 240 |
| S21 | Amateur | 24 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.83 | 277 |
| S22 | Amateur | 56 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.79 | 293 |
| S23 | Prospect | 39 | 0.56 | 0.41 | 1.18 | 303 |
| S24 | Prospect | 56 | 0.82 | 0.5 | 1.11 | 315 |
| S25 | Contender | 50 | 0.56 | 0.42 | 0.82 | 297 |
| S26 | Contender | 23 | 0.48 | 0.7 | 0.78 | 293 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.5 – 0.62 |
| Assists/game | 0.7 | 0.56 | 0.5 – 0.62 |
| Saves/game | 0.78 | 0.94 | 0.78 – 1.0 |
| Shots/game | 1.83 | 1.77 | 1.68 – 1.87 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merioch | S20 | Rival | 0.55 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.05 |
| frankieeagle | S26 | Contender | 0.58 | 0.74 | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| MoonKnight2 | S26 | Contender | 0.45 | 0.71 | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| FfejGnak | S14 | Amateur | 0.35 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 1.19 |
| Gmoney | S26 | Prospect | 0.38 | 0.73 | 1.0 | 1.21 |
| Shootzy | S19 | Amateur | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.68 | 1.22 |
| Rob | S22 | Prospect | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.94 | 1.24 |
| Evil twin | S21 | Contender | 0.65 | 0.56 | 0.89 | 1.27 |
| Darth Nefaris | S20 | Prospect | 0.49 | 0.47 | 0.85 | 1.31 |
| BinBoiz | S13 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.31 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.