Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 310.62 | 10561 |
|
| Goals | 0.53 | 18 |
|
| Assists | 0.74 | 25 |
|
| Saves | 1.12 | 38 |
|
| Shots | 2.0 | 68 |
|
| Demos | 0.76 | 26 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 310.62 | #698 / 1215 | #53 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.53 | #780 / 1215 | #89 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.74 | #156 / 1215 | #11 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.12 | #665 / 1215 | #60 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.76 | #625 / 1215 | #53 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (34 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (194 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10561 | 16463 | 16486 | 16486 | 16367 – 16605 |
| Goals | 18 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 24 – 34 |
| Assists | 25 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 33 – 44 |
| Saves | 38 | 59 | 59 | 60 | 52 – 66 |
| Shots | 68 | 106 | 107 | 108 | 98 – 117 |
| Demos | 26 | 41 | 41 | 39 | 35 – 47 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 298.0 |
| Avg boost | 50.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 410.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1406.6 |
| % supersonic | 6.1% |
| % time high in air | 2.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3345.0 |
| % time attacking third | 18.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.7 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 21.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Amateur | 10 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 286 |
| S22 | Amateur | 54 | 1.15 | 0.59 | 1.28 | 322 |
| S23 | Prospect | 33 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 1.0 | 319 |
| S24 | Prospect | 42 | 0.76 | 0.38 | 0.98 | 320 |
| S25 | Contender | 55 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 1.34 | 315 |
| S26 | Contender | 31 | 0.45 | 0.71 | 1.06 | 298 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.5 – 0.6 |
| Assists/game | 0.71 | 0.62 | 0.6 – 0.7 |
| Saves/game | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.0 – 1.24 |
| Shots/game | 1.94 | 2.0 | 1.83 – 2.07 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gmoney | S26 | Prospect | 0.38 | 0.73 | 1.0 | 0.87 |
| robophant | S23 | Challenger | 0.55 | 0.55 | 1.15 | 0.99 |
| Merioch | S20 | Rival | 0.55 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.07 |
| Sly | S22 | Veteran | 0.49 | 0.57 | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Heimfari | S26 | Contender | 0.48 | 0.7 | 0.78 | 1.10 |
| HybridParagon | S22 | Rival | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| Goum | S24 | Rival | 0.46 | 0.77 | 1.0 | 1.14 |
| frankieeagle | S26 | Contender | 0.58 | 0.74 | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| Miserable | S19 | Master | 0.67 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.19 |
| oDynastyo | S20 | Prospect | 0.42 | 0.58 | 1.16 | 1.19 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.