Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 462.75 | 7404 |
|
| Goals | 1.25 | 20 |
|
| Assists | 0.81 | 13 |
|
| Saves | 1.81 | 29 |
|
| Shots | 3.0 | 48 |
|
| Demos | 0.81 | 13 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 462.75 | #12 / 1213 | #1 / 164 |
| Goals | 1.25 | #37 / 1213 | #6 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.81 | #80 / 1213 | #12 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.81 | #68 / 1213 | #10 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.81 | #578 / 1213 | #90 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (16 → ~28 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (18 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7404 | 12957 | 12480 | 12480 | 12368 – 12592 |
| Goals | 20 | 35 | 33 | 31 | 27 – 39 |
| Assists | 13 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 17 – 26 |
| Saves | 29 | 51 | 49 | 47 | 42 – 56 |
| Shots | 48 | 84 | 82 | 82 | 73 – 91 |
| Demos | 13 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 19 – 29 |
| MVPs | 8 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 9 – 16 |
From 16 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 366.0 |
| Avg boost | 53.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 533.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1497.5 |
| % supersonic | 11.7% |
| % time high in air | 5.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2941.2 |
| % time attacking third | 20.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 40.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Veteran | 18 | 0.56 | 0.44 | 1.11 | 375 |
| S25 | Veteran | 6 | 0.33 | 0.5 | 0.83 | 377 |
| S26 | Rival | 16 | 1.25 | 0.81 | 1.81 | 366 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.25 | 1.06 | 1.0 – 1.19 |
| Assists/game | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.71 – 0.88 |
| Saves/game | 1.81 | 1.74 | 1.62 – 1.83 |
| Shots/game | 3.0 | 2.94 | 2.78 – 3.2 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yurrbo? | S23 | Rival | 1.18 | 0.84 | 1.64 | 1.08 |
| Roden2470 | S13 | Master | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.83 | 1.13 |
| Crazics | S23 | Veteran | 0.96 | 0.71 | 1.84 | 1.30 |
| Zoomin | S23 | Veteran | 1.17 | 0.75 | 1.81 | 1.32 |
| redwizard2you | S26 | Elite | 1.18 | 0.82 | 1.56 | 1.33 |
| Alfredo | S18 | Premier | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.41 |
| Lil Panda | S20 | Elite | 1.19 | 0.88 | 1.69 | 1.46 |
| SholonkerZ | S18 | Master | 1.0 | 0.83 | 1.92 | 1.49 |
| wntr. | S24 | Elite | 1.03 | 0.72 | 1.83 | 1.49 |
| Hydro | S20 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.94 | 1.49 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.