HouseHoldNugg

Rival - Ocelots - 12-4 (0.750)
59 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 16 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 59/100 Tier dominance: 97th (+2.0 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Star all-rounder
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
8
50% of games
Shot %
42%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 462.75 7404
99th
Goals 1.25 20
95th
Assists 0.81 13
91st
Saves 1.81 29
92nd
Shots 3.0 48
78th
Demos 0.81 13
32nd

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points462.75 #12 / 1213 #1 / 164
Goals1.25 #37 / 1213 #6 / 164
Assists0.81 #80 / 1213 #12 / 164
Saves1.81 #68 / 1213 #10 / 164
Demos0.81 #578 / 1213 #90 / 164

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (16 → ~28 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (18 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7404 12957 12480 12480 12368 – 12592
Goals 20 35 33 31 27 – 39
Assists 13 23 22 21 17 – 26
Saves 29 51 49 47 42 – 56
Shots 48 84 82 82 73 – 91
Demos 13 23 24 21 19 – 29
MVPs 8 14 13 13 9 – 16

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 96 /100

From 16 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 366.0
Avg boost 53.6
Boost stolen / game 533.1
% time at 0 boost 8.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1497.5
% supersonic 11.7%
% time high in air 5.5%
Avg distance to ball 2941.2
% time attacking third 20.8%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 40.0%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Veteran18 0.560.441.11 375
S25Veteran6 0.330.50.83 377
S26Rival16 1.250.811.81 366

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.25 1.06 1.0 – 1.19
Assists/game0.81 0.75 0.71 – 0.88
Saves/game1.81 1.74 1.62 – 1.83
Shots/game3.0 2.94 2.78 – 3.2

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Yurrbo? S23Rival 1.180.841.64 1.08
Roden2470 S13Master 1.330.671.83 1.13
Crazics S23Veteran 0.960.711.84 1.30
Zoomin S23Veteran 1.170.751.81 1.32
redwizard2you S26Elite 1.180.821.56 1.33
Alfredo S18Premier 1.40.81.6 1.41
Lil Panda S20Elite 1.190.881.69 1.46
SholonkerZ S18Master 1.00.831.92 1.49
wntr. S24Elite 1.030.721.83 1.49
Hydro S20Elite 1.00.881.94 1.49

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.