JKEO01

Prospect - Blacktips - 18-16 (0.529)
27 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 34 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 27/100 Tier dominance: 75th (+0.6 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
8
24% of games
Shot %
26%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 371.76 12640
77th
Goals 0.76 26
53rd
Assists 0.59 20
62nd
Saves 1.56 53
86th
Shots 3.0 102
85th
Demos 0.85 29
46th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points371.76 #269 / 1215 #31 / 161
Goals0.76 #444 / 1215 #63 / 161
Assists0.59 #380 / 1215 #51 / 161
Saves1.56 #204 / 1215 #19 / 161
Demos0.85 #554 / 1215 #72 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (34 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12640 21191 21010 20864 – 21156
Goals 26 44 43 37 – 50
Assists 20 34 33 27 – 39
Saves 53 89 87 78 – 97
Shots 102 171 168 155 – 181
Demos 29 49 49 42 – 56
MVPs 8 13 13 9 – 17

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 49 /100

From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 417.4
Avg boost 51.4
Boost stolen / game 535.3
% time at 0 boost 13.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1489.8
% supersonic 11.7%
% time high in air 5.2%
Avg distance to ball 2700.1
% time attacking third 21.3%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 22.7%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.77 0.85 0.77 – 0.9
Assists/game0.63 0.67 0.6 – 0.7
Saves/game1.5 1.43 1.33 – 1.51
Shots/game3.2 2.97 2.87 – 3.2

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
gcol S17Veteran 0.750.671.42 0.93
RaunchyRomanian S25Master 0.850.651.5 0.97
Dusk S26Prospect 0.750.621.38 1.00
Jmh187- S23Challenger 0.890.71.51 1.05
Crazics S22Veteran 0.760.591.43 1.11
Rock_Sause S24Elite 0.840.491.57 1.13
Destin S24Master 0.880.531.31 1.13
JesterGG S23Rival 0.930.571.65 1.15
War Xeon S17Elite 0.880.621.5 1.19
PayloSoul S22Master 0.90.571.6 1.19

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.