JazzMagic.

Rival - Dice - 8-20 (0.286)
52 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 52/100 Tier dominance: 55th (+0.1 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
11% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 377.14 10560
77th
Goals 0.96 27
78th
Assists 0.54 15
49th
Saves 1.29 36
42nd
Shots 2.68 75
62nd
Demos 0.54 15
13th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points377.14 #232 / 1215 #31 / 164
Goals0.96 #194 / 1215 #30 / 164
Assists0.54 #469 / 1215 #69 / 164
Saves1.29 #482 / 1215 #78 / 164
Demos0.54 #790 / 1215 #117 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (200 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10560 18857 18681 18681 18535 – 18828
Goals 27 48 47 48 40 – 54
Assists 15 27 27 27 21 – 32
Saves 36 64 65 65 56 – 73
Shots 75 134 133 135 121 – 145
Demos 15 27 29 28 23 – 35
MVPs 3 5 6 6 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 56 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 343.5
Avg boost 51.5
Boost stolen / game 490.2
% time at 0 boost 7.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1487.9
% supersonic 11.5%
% time high in air 3.6%
Avg distance to ball 2910.0
% time attacking third 22.6%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 36.7%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Rival4 1.250.51.5 344
S22Rival13 1.00.311.69 350
S23Rival61 0.90.391.46 349
S24Rival62 0.810.581.39 340
S25Rival64 0.970.581.11 346
S26Rival24 0.830.621.33 343

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.83 0.86 0.8 – 0.9
Assists/game0.62 0.59 0.58 – 0.63
Saves/game1.33 1.36 1.25 – 1.42
Shots/game2.58 2.68 2.54 – 2.75

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
TangentOgive S25Elite 0.90.591.22 0.64
JustLaben S24Veteran 0.90.581.35 0.77
TangentOgive S26Elite 0.870.671.47 0.82
Earth S24Veteran 0.690.661.47 0.89
Absolutely TOR S26Veteran 0.780.591.19 0.89
Geherpaderp S22Master 0.850.581.56 0.92
JazzMagic. S24Rival 0.810.581.39 0.92
Alfredo S14Premier 0.750.561.56 0.93
OvrSizedFrog S26Challenger 0.770.551.32 0.94
S.S.F.C. Doodle! S22Master 0.920.591.47 0.94

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.