Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 377.14 | 10560 |
|
| Goals | 0.96 | 27 |
|
| Assists | 0.54 | 15 |
|
| Saves | 1.29 | 36 |
|
| Shots | 2.68 | 75 |
|
| Demos | 0.54 | 15 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 377.14 | #232 / 1215 | #31 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.96 | #194 / 1215 | #30 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.54 | #469 / 1215 | #69 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.29 | #482 / 1215 | #78 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.54 | #790 / 1215 | #117 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (200 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10560 | 18857 | 18681 | 18681 | 18535 – 18828 |
| Goals | 27 | 48 | 47 | 48 | 40 – 54 |
| Assists | 15 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 21 – 32 |
| Saves | 36 | 64 | 65 | 65 | 56 – 73 |
| Shots | 75 | 134 | 133 | 135 | 121 – 145 |
| Demos | 15 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 23 – 35 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 – 8 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 343.5 |
| Avg boost | 51.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 490.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1487.9 |
| % supersonic | 11.5% |
| % time high in air | 3.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2910.0 |
| % time attacking third | 22.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 36.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Rival | 4 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 344 |
| S22 | Rival | 13 | 1.0 | 0.31 | 1.69 | 350 |
| S23 | Rival | 61 | 0.9 | 0.39 | 1.46 | 349 |
| S24 | Rival | 62 | 0.81 | 0.58 | 1.39 | 340 |
| S25 | Rival | 64 | 0.97 | 0.58 | 1.11 | 346 |
| S26 | Rival | 24 | 0.83 | 0.62 | 1.33 | 343 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.8 – 0.9 |
| Assists/game | 0.62 | 0.59 | 0.58 – 0.63 |
| Saves/game | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.25 – 1.42 |
| Shots/game | 2.58 | 2.68 | 2.54 – 2.75 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TangentOgive | S25 | Elite | 0.9 | 0.59 | 1.22 | 0.64 |
| JustLaben | S24 | Veteran | 0.9 | 0.58 | 1.35 | 0.77 |
| TangentOgive | S26 | Elite | 0.87 | 0.67 | 1.47 | 0.82 |
| Earth | S24 | Veteran | 0.69 | 0.66 | 1.47 | 0.89 |
| Absolutely TOR | S26 | Veteran | 0.78 | 0.59 | 1.19 | 0.89 |
| Geherpaderp | S22 | Master | 0.85 | 0.58 | 1.56 | 0.92 |
| JazzMagic. | S24 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.58 | 1.39 | 0.92 |
| Alfredo | S14 | Premier | 0.75 | 0.56 | 1.56 | 0.93 |
| OvrSizedFrog | S26 | Challenger | 0.77 | 0.55 | 1.32 | 0.94 |
| S.S.F.C. Doodle! | S22 | Master | 0.92 | 0.59 | 1.47 | 0.94 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.