Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 325.62 | 8466 |
|
| Goals | 0.81 | 21 |
|
| Assists | 0.5 | 13 |
|
| Saves | 1.23 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 2.15 | 56 |
|
| Demos | 0.54 | 14 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 325.62 | #616 / 1215 | #82 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.81 | #381 / 1215 | #53 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.5 | #516 / 1215 | #71 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.23 | #548 / 1215 | #75 / 166 |
| Demos | 0.54 | #785 / 1215 | #107 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (26 → ~43 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (174 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8466 | 14001 | 14064 | 14064 | 13947 – 14182 |
| Goals | 21 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 29 – 40 |
| Assists | 13 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 17 – 26 |
| Saves | 32 | 53 | 53 | 52 | 46 – 60 |
| Shots | 56 | 93 | 94 | 97 | 84 – 104 |
| Demos | 14 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 20 – 30 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 22 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 334.6 |
| Avg boost | 51.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 463.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1475.7 |
| % supersonic | 11.2% |
| % time high in air | 3.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2926.4 |
| % time attacking third | 22.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 39.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 18 | 1.17 | 0.5 | 0.94 | 282 |
| S21 | Prospect | 8 | 2.12 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 293 |
| S22 | Challenger | 15 | 0.93 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 277 |
| S23 | Challenger | 36 | 0.58 | 0.72 | 1.03 | 304 |
| S24 | Challenger | 45 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 1.13 | 322 |
| S25 | Prospect | 52 | 1.17 | 0.71 | 1.15 | 357 |
| S26 | Challenger | 22 | 0.77 | 0.55 | 1.32 | 335 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.69 – 0.83 |
| Assists/game | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.48 – 0.56 |
| Saves/game | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.17 – 1.4 |
| Shots/game | 2.14 | 2.27 | 2.19 – 2.37 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QX5Z | S19 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.84 |
| Nebulade | S25 | Veteran | 0.65 | 0.49 | 1.32 | 0.85 |
| Makaveli | S26 | Veteran | 0.65 | 0.58 | 1.35 | 0.92 |
| JazzMagic. | S26 | Rival | 0.83 | 0.62 | 1.33 | 0.94 |
| JazzMagic. | S24 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.58 | 1.39 | 1.02 |
| SWZYY GN | S23 | Challenger | 0.84 | 0.42 | 1.22 | 1.03 |
| JoeExotic | S25 | Rival | 0.68 | 0.55 | 1.12 | 1.04 |
| Timbo | S20 | Master | 0.82 | 0.36 | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| steel.reserve | S22 | Veteran | 0.86 | 0.59 | 1.37 | 1.08 |
| CaptnFlufflepuff | S20 | Prospect | 0.7 | 0.54 | 1.07 | 1.09 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.