Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 351.18 | 9833 |
|
| Goals | 0.86 | 24 |
|
| Assists | 0.57 | 16 |
|
| Saves | 1.46 | 41 |
|
| Shots | 2.61 | 73 |
|
| Demos | 0.86 | 24 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 351.18 | #415 / 1215 | #59 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.86 | #306 / 1215 | #46 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.57 | #401 / 1215 | #57 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.46 | #305 / 1215 | #42 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.86 | #544 / 1215 | #84 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (143 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9833 | 17559 | 17510 | 17510 | 17368 – 17653 |
| Goals | 24 | 43 | 42 | 43 | 35 – 49 |
| Assists | 16 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 23 – 34 |
| Saves | 41 | 73 | 73 | 73 | 63 – 82 |
| Shots | 73 | 130 | 130 | 132 | 118 – 142 |
| Demos | 24 | 43 | 44 | 44 | 37 – 51 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 – 8 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 435.5 |
| Avg boost | 46.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 545.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 14.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1472.5 |
| % supersonic | 10.3% |
| % time high in air | 3.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3009.9 |
| % time attacking third | 22.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 34.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Challenger | 10 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 375 |
| S22 | Challenger | 29 | 1.07 | 0.55 | 1.55 | 407 |
| S23 | Challenger | 53 | 0.89 | 0.7 | 1.51 | 440 |
| S24 | Rival | 37 | 0.84 | 0.51 | 1.05 | 426 |
| S25 | Veteran | 14 | 0.79 | 0.57 | 1.21 | 423 |
| S26 | Rival | 24 | 0.83 | 0.5 | 1.54 | 435 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.74 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.55 | 0.48 – 0.57 |
| Saves/game | 1.54 | 1.46 | 1.37 – 1.56 |
| Shots/game | 2.54 | 2.61 | 2.45 – 2.7 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PumPum | S23 | Rival | 0.7 | 0.59 | 1.39 | 1.15 |
| S horty | S26 | Contender | 0.92 | 0.42 | 1.65 | 1.17 |
| dyl | S23 | Challenger | 0.78 | 0.39 | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| mojomo (Goofy and Silly) | S24 | Elite | 0.79 | 0.57 | 1.68 | 1.21 |
| EcHo.rll | S23 | Challenger | 0.94 | 0.55 | 1.46 | 1.24 |
| gcol | S17 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.67 | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| Geherpaderp | S20 | Master | 0.81 | 0.43 | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| Ray Finkle | S23 | Rival | 0.56 | 0.59 | 1.46 | 1.26 |
| mxWEBBY | S19 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1.58 | 1.28 |
| Jmh187- | S25 | Veteran | 0.79 | 0.57 | 1.21 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.