Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 299.0 | 9568 |
|
| Goals | 0.56 | 18 |
|
| Assists | 0.38 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 1.19 | 38 |
|
| Shots | 2.31 | 74 |
|
| Demos | 0.38 | 12 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 299.0 | #759 / 1215 | #96 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.56 | #744 / 1215 | #102 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.38 | #761 / 1215 | #103 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.19 | #584 / 1215 | #67 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.38 | #887 / 1215 | #125 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (79 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9568 | 15847 | 15980 | 15980 | 15853 – 16106 |
| Goals | 18 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 25 – 36 |
| Assists | 12 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 16 – 25 |
| Saves | 38 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 55 – 71 |
| Shots | 74 | 123 | 123 | 122 | 112 – 134 |
| Demos | 12 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 17 – 27 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 357.6 |
| Avg boost | 48.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 390.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 12.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1445.0 |
| % supersonic | 9.9% |
| % time high in air | 2.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3211.7 |
| % time attacking third | 15.7% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 25.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Amateur | 50 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.42 | 333 |
| S23 | Challenger | 7 | 0.43 | 0.14 | 0.71 | 328 |
| S24 | Challenger | 16 | 0.5 | 0.31 | 1.0 | 360 |
| S25 | Challenger | 13 | 0.46 | 0.31 | 0.77 | 353 |
| S26 | Prospect | 28 | 0.64 | 0.39 | 1.21 | 358 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.64 | 0.7 | 0.65 – 0.72 |
| Assists/game | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.38 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.21 | 1.24 | 1.19 – 1.39 |
| Shots/game | 2.57 | 2.4 | 2.2 – 2.5 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midnight | S25 | Challenger | 0.63 | 0.5 | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| Ozzy | S20 | Prospect | 0.62 | 0.38 | 1.24 | 1.21 |
| SRSExKAOS | S25 | Rival | 0.67 | 0.27 | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Cob | S17 | Rival | 0.93 | 0.29 | 1.21 | 1.26 |
| Eskonor. | S25 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.42 | 1.1 | 1.27 |
| llokxz | S26 | Contender | 0.56 | 0.33 | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Beans | S13 | Elite | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.31 |
| mogulmaniac5480 | S25 | Rival | 0.65 | 0.29 | 1.35 | 1.33 |
| Ice Phoenix | S23 | Veteran | 0.7 | 0.57 | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| Bushier Brow | S24 | Veteran | 0.63 | 0.39 | 1.59 | 1.35 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.