Keso-_-_-

Contender - Kodiak Bears - 24-8 (0.750)
13 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 13/100 Tier dominance: 73rd (+0.4 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
6% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 355.72 11383
78th
Goals 0.84 27
69th
Assists 0.56 18
71st
Saves 0.84 27
14th
Shots 2.69 86
78th
Demos 0.97 31
69th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points355.72 #374 / 1215 #24 / 134
Goals0.84 #326 / 1215 #34 / 134
Assists0.56 #420 / 1215 #31 / 134
Saves0.84 #858 / 1215 #95 / 134
Demos0.97 #451 / 1215 #34 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (32 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 11383 17786 17647 17525 – 17769
Goals 27 42 42 36 – 48
Assists 18 28 28 23 – 33
Saves 27 42 43 37 – 49
Shots 86 134 133 122 – 144
Demos 31 48 48 42 – 54
MVPs 2 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 52 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 433.4
Avg boost 45.7
Boost stolen / game 495.6
% time at 0 boost 19.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1531.3
% supersonic 13.2%
% time high in air 4.0%
Avg distance to ball 3183.5
% time attacking third 20.7%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 29.4%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.82 0.79 0.75 – 0.86
Assists/game0.61 0.62 0.56 – 0.67
Saves/game0.96 1.07 0.92 – 1.16
Shots/game2.68 2.64 2.57 – 2.73

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
D/\MN D/\NIEL S25Prospect 0.810.51.11 0.86
Ziffy S25Veteran 0.740.680.97 0.89
xDracO0 S23Rival 0.860.611.3 0.97
Meta.RL- S24Challenger 1.020.541.06 1.04
nave S26Premier 0.640.551.09 1.07
Flexy S23Elite 0.860.640.82 1.07
nickm S24Elite 0.770.641.07 1.08
BankShark S22Rival 0.790.51.17 1.09
Treezy S20Premier 0.620.560.81 1.10
6-7! S24Master 0.830.521.12 1.11

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.