Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 292.61 | 8193 |
|
| Goals | 0.75 | 21 |
|
| Assists | 0.5 | 14 |
|
| Saves | 0.86 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 1.61 | 45 |
|
| Demos | 1.18 | 33 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 292.61 | #789 / 1215 | #102 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.75 | #455 / 1215 | #64 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.5 | #516 / 1215 | #71 / 161 |
| Saves | 0.86 | #855 / 1215 | #115 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.18 | #275 / 1215 | #35 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (132 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8193 | 13753 | 13913 | 13913 | 13793 – 14033 |
| Goals | 21 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 29 – 41 |
| Assists | 14 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 19 – 29 |
| Saves | 24 | 40 | 42 | 43 | 35 – 48 |
| Shots | 45 | 76 | 79 | 77 | 70 – 88 |
| Demos | 33 | 55 | 54 | 53 | 47 – 62 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 4 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 415.8 |
| Avg boost | 45.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 452.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1495.1 |
| % supersonic | 11.5% |
| % time high in air | 3.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3181.2 |
| % time attacking third | 21.2% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 49.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Amateur | 12 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 1.5 | 392 |
| S21 | Contender | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 390 |
| S22 | Contender | 42 | 0.64 | 0.36 | 1.26 | 415 |
| S23 | Challenger | 31 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 1.29 | 403 |
| S24 | Challenger | 47 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 1.28 | 393 |
| S25 | Challenger | 4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 407 |
| S26 | Prospect | 24 | 0.79 | 0.5 | 0.83 | 416 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.79 | 0.67 | 0.62 – 0.77 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.49 | 0.44 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 0.83 | 1.0 | 0.88 – 1.05 |
| Shots/game | 1.62 | 2.0 | 1.85 – 2.04 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| demonikgoat4061 | S19 | Amateur | 0.86 | 0.38 | 0.79 | 1.11 |
| MedicMac121 | S25 | Amateur | 0.69 | 0.51 | 0.76 | 1.12 |
| Enterprise15 | S18 | Amateur | 0.86 | 0.49 | 0.95 | 1.26 |
| DaddyBobGaming | S26 | Contender | 0.7 | 0.37 | 1.0 | 1.28 |
| Rcmblocks | S19 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Kiwi | S22 | Veteran | 0.65 | 0.54 | 1.04 | 1.33 |
| Nova_ | S13 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.5 | 0.88 | 1.34 |
| Smba- | S14 | Challenger | 0.62 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 1.42 |
| B1itzzzzzzz | S21 | Contender | 0.54 | 0.44 | 1.0 | 1.44 |
| imtobad00 | S26 | Challenger | 0.64 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 1.45 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.