Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 286.6 | 4299 |
|
| Goals | 0.53 | 8 |
|
| Assists | 0.67 | 10 |
|
| Saves | 1.13 | 17 |
|
| Shots | 1.73 | 26 |
|
| Demos | 1.13 | 17 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 286.6 | #814 / 1215 | #117 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.53 | #776 / 1215 | #112 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.67 | #229 / 1215 | #27 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.13 | #647 / 1215 | #95 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.13 | #309 / 1215 | #37 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (15 → ~25 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (50 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4299 | 7165 | 7355 | 7355 | 7270 – 7440 |
| Goals | 8 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 10 – 18 |
| Assists | 10 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 12 – 20 |
| Saves | 17 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 24 – 34 |
| Shots | 26 | 43 | 46 | 49 | 39 – 53 |
| Demos | 17 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 23 – 33 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 11 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 396.7 |
| Avg boost | 46.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 438.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 14.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1485.4 |
| % supersonic | 10.9% |
| % time high in air | 4.9% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3027.2 |
| % time attacking third | 19.5% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.4 |
| Shooting % | 28.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Challenger | 50 | 0.98 | 0.64 | 1.2 | 405 |
| S24 | Rival | 2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 431 |
| S26 | Challenger | 11 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 397 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.64 | 0.6 | 0.56 – 0.67 |
| Assists/game | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.54 – 0.64 |
| Saves/game | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.05 – 1.2 |
| Shots/game | 2.0 | 2.05 | 1.95 – 2.23 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| monsterforeski | S20 | Prospect | 0.51 | 0.59 | 1.0 | 0.79 |
| Angry-Hermit | S20 | Contender | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.86 | 0.79 |
| MateItsNate | S13 | Master | 0.67 | 0.5 | 1.08 | 0.86 |
| Terx | S22 | Veteran | 0.6 | 0.67 | 1.08 | 0.95 |
| bosco | S18 | Master | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Terx | S25 | Veteran | 0.58 | 0.56 | 1.22 | 1.01 |
| vAirwick | S25 | Rival | 0.79 | 0.56 | 1.1 | 1.04 |
| LoonaStarrr | S26 | Elite | 0.48 | 0.52 | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Unc_Rez | S26 | Prospect | 0.68 | 0.64 | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Stone-Dog Millionaire | S25 | Veteran | 0.72 | 0.55 | 1.2 | 1.10 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.