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Challenger - Toucans - 8-7 (0.533)
35 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 15 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 35/100 Tier dominance: 35th (-0.6 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
13% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 286.6 4299
12th
Goals 0.53 8
16th
Assists 0.67 10
77th
Saves 1.13 17
29th
Shots 1.73 26
3rd
Demos 1.13 17
72nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points286.6 #814 / 1215 #117 / 166
Goals0.53 #776 / 1215 #112 / 166
Assists0.67 #229 / 1215 #27 / 166
Saves1.13 #647 / 1215 #95 / 166
Demos1.13 #309 / 1215 #37 / 166

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (15 → ~25 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (50 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 4299 7165 7355 7355 7270 – 7440
Goals 8 13 14 15 10 – 18
Assists 10 17 16 17 12 – 20
Saves 17 28 29 29 24 – 34
Shots 26 43 46 49 39 – 53
Demos 17 28 28 28 23 – 33
MVPs 2 3 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 15 /100

From 11 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 396.7
Avg boost 46.0
Boost stolen / game 438.0
% time at 0 boost 14.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1485.4
% supersonic 10.9%
% time high in air 4.9%
Avg distance to ball 3027.2
% time attacking third 19.5%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.4
Shooting % 28.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Challenger50 0.980.641.2 405
S24Rival2 1.50.50.5 431
S26Challenger11 0.640.641.0 397

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.64 0.6 0.56 – 0.67
Assists/game0.64 0.57 0.54 – 0.64
Saves/game1.0 1.09 1.05 – 1.2
Shots/game2.0 2.05 1.95 – 2.23

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
monsterforeski S20Prospect 0.510.591.0 0.79
Angry-Hermit S20Contender 0.570.570.86 0.79
MateItsNate S13Master 0.670.51.08 0.86
Terx S22Veteran 0.60.671.08 0.95
bosco S18Master 0.50.671.17 1.00
Terx S25Veteran 0.580.561.22 1.01
vAirwick S25Rival 0.790.561.1 1.04
LoonaStarrr S26Elite 0.480.521.11 1.04
Unc_Rez S26Prospect 0.680.641.11 1.05
Stone-Dog Millionaire S25Veteran 0.720.551.2 1.10

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.