Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 305.25 | 2442 |
|
| Goals | 0.25 | 2 |
|
| Assists | 0.25 | 2 |
|
| Saves | 1.38 | 11 |
|
| Shots | 2.12 | 17 |
|
| Demos | 1.38 | 11 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Veteran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 305.25 | #727 / 1215 | #122 / 170 |
| Goals | 0.25 | #907 / 1215 | #128 / 170 |
| Assists | 0.25 | #878 / 1215 | #131 / 170 |
| Saves | 1.38 | #385 / 1215 | #69 / 170 |
| Demos | 1.38 | #184 / 1215 | #31 / 170 |
56% of the season is played (8 → ~14 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (12 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 2442 | 4274 | 4420 | 4420 | 4353 – 4487 |
| Goals | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 – 8 |
| Assists | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 7 |
| Saves | 11 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 15 – 24 |
| Shots | 17 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 26 – 37 |
| Demos | 11 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 14 – 22 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 – 1 |
No ballchasing replay data for this player. Advanced stats (boost, speed, positioning, demos) only exist for the ~37% of players whose matches/scrims were uploaded to ballchasing - coverage depends on who uploads, not on the player.
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S13 | Veteran | 7 | 1.71 | 0.71 | 1.57 | 418 |
| S14 | Elite | 7 | 1.14 | 0.57 | 1.14 | 405 |
| S17 | Elite | 12 | 0.83 | 0.42 | 1.5 | 399 |
| S18 | Elite | 7 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 1.57 | 415 |
| S24 | Elite | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 389 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.77 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.4 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 – 1.58 |
| Shots/game | 2.58 | 2.56 | 2.4 – 2.69 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rock_Sause | S25 | Elite | 0.77 | 0.45 | 1.67 | 0.69 |
| SlimmySlimReaper | S23 | Rival | 0.8 | 0.39 | 1.55 | 0.77 |
| Cognitixn | S24 | Veteran | 0.71 | 0.34 | 1.42 | 0.81 |
| SniperWarrior007 | S18 | Challenger | 0.88 | 0.5 | 1.62 | 0.83 |
| Its_Lost | S23 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.38 | 0.91 |
| Danub | S25 | Rival | 0.76 | 0.53 | 1.53 | 0.93 |
| AS-17. | S23 | Challenger | 0.91 | 0.3 | 1.52 | 0.94 |
| Rmuru- | S19 | Challenger | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.53 | 0.95 |
| Gray | S26 | Elite | 0.94 | 0.52 | 1.52 | 0.98 |
| spite | S25 | Challenger | 0.85 | 0.49 | 1.58 | 0.98 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.