KrispyKrunch704

Prospect - Tanuki - 12-6 (0.667)
29 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 18 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 29/100 Tier dominance: 90th (+1.4 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
22% of games
Shot %
48%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 383.22 6898
83rd
Goals 1.28 23
97th
Assists 0.61 11
68th
Saves 1.17 21
47th
Shots 2.67 48
66th
Demos 1.28 23
83rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points383.22 #201 / 1215 #22 / 161
Goals1.28 #30 / 1215 #3 / 161
Assists0.61 #318 / 1215 #42 / 161
Saves1.17 #609 / 1215 #71 / 161
Demos1.28 #230 / 1215 #23 / 161

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (18 → ~30 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 6898 11497 11302 11200 – 11405
Goals 23 38 36 31 – 42
Assists 11 18 18 14 – 22
Saves 21 35 35 29 – 41
Shots 48 80 79 70 – 88
Demos 23 38 37 31 – 43
MVPs 4 7 6 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 90 /100

From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 424.0
Avg boost 46.9
Boost stolen / game 535.6
% time at 0 boost 15.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1512.1
% supersonic 11.2%
% time high in air 3.4%
Avg distance to ball 2899.1
% time attacking third 20.5%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 43.8%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.36 1.13 1.06 – 1.25
Assists/game0.64 0.6 0.54 – 0.62
Saves/game1.14 1.12 1.05 – 1.33
Shots/game2.86 2.92 2.82 – 3.02

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Yeetn-Skeet S21Elite 1.360.51.0 1.20
Aiden_23- S22Prospect 1.150.61.0 1.23
kamikaze7200 S22Challenger 1.170.611.09 1.24
bradyisadopted S26Contender 1.090.661.12 1.31
Wavy S21Challenger 1.250.421.33 1.36
Fish S20Rival 1.250.580.96 1.38
OldMan_Waterfall S25Contender 1.060.581.03 1.40
kyllonen_ S17Challenger 1.380.621.12 1.43
Panda S26Challenger 1.160.691.09 1.44
Mathews175 S17Veteran 1.120.621.31 1.44

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.