MZFdoom

Elite - Fire - 13-21 (0.382)
76 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 34 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 76/100 Tier dominance: 23rd (-0.7 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
12% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 361.38 12287
51st
Goals 0.82 28
59th
Assists 0.29 10
4th
Saves 1.68 57
78th
Shots 2.85 97
70th
Demos 0.85 29
32nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points361.38 #332 / 1215 #63 / 179
Goals0.82 #364 / 1215 #52 / 179
Assists0.29 #858 / 1215 #124 / 179
Saves1.68 #126 / 1215 #29 / 179
Demos0.85 #554 / 1215 #88 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (34 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12287 21683 21649 21491 – 21807
Goals 28 49 49 42 – 57
Assists 10 18 19 14 – 24
Saves 57 101 99 89 – 110
Shots 97 171 170 156 – 184
Demos 29 51 52 44 – 60
MVPs 4 7 7 4 – 10

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 39 /100

From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 399.9
Avg boost 52.1
Boost stolen / game 426.7
% time at 0 boost 7.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1511.2
% supersonic 14.4%
% time high in air 4.3%
Avg distance to ball 2823.2
% time attacking third 19.4%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.5
Shooting % 28.4%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.83 0.83 0.75 – 0.89
Assists/game0.3 0.39 0.35 – 0.44
Saves/game1.6 1.57 1.5 – 1.62
Shots/game2.97 2.75 2.58 – 2.88

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Shxde S24Master 0.890.411.57 0.81
Synnicall S24Rival 0.720.441.5 0.94
ballerking2008 S26Challenger 1.00.271.67 0.98
Kourses S17Elite 0.830.421.5 1.06
PayloSoul S21Master 1.00.371.74 1.09
bex S23Master 0.70.371.44 1.10
Rock_Sause S25Elite 0.770.451.67 1.11
AS-17. S23Challenger 0.910.31.52 1.14
SlimmySlimReaper S23Rival 0.80.391.55 1.18
Nitro S24Veteran 0.910.391.72 1.19

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.