Magicmike2433

Contender - Caterpillars - 12-16 (0.429)
6 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 6/100 Tier dominance: 8th (-1.2 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
4% of games
Shot %
27%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 302.82 8479
44th
Goals 0.61 17
34th
Assists 0.43 12
32nd
Saves 1.11 31
44th
Shots 2.21 62
45th
Demos 0.75 21
45th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points302.82 #737 / 1215 #62 / 134
Goals0.61 #690 / 1215 #73 / 134
Assists0.43 #685 / 1215 #73 / 134
Saves1.11 #678 / 1215 #62 / 134
Demos0.75 #633 / 1215 #57 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (28 → ~44 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 8479 13324 13375 13267 – 13483
Goals 17 27 27 22 – 32
Assists 12 19 19 15 – 23
Saves 31 49 49 42 – 55
Shots 62 97 98 89 – 107
Demos 21 33 33 28 – 39
MVPs 1 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 2 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 341.5
Avg boost 50.9
Boost stolen / game 329.7
% time at 0 boost 12.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1453.5
% supersonic 8.4%
% time high in air 3.3%
Avg distance to ball 2998.6
% time attacking third 16.5%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 21.2%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.48 0.5 0.46 – 0.62
Assists/game0.29 0.33 0.29 – 0.38
Saves/game1.0 1.02 0.94 – 1.11
Shots/game2.05 1.94 1.86 – 2.1

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Novarchite S20Prospect 0.590.351.02 0.96
FattyMcChef04 S25Contender 0.430.41.09 0.97
JonathanVanDyk S24Challenger 0.50.311.0 0.97
RYU GU S21Prospect 0.560.330.78 1.01
CF SHHM3LLYY S18Amateur 0.640.390.89 1.05
JonathanVanDyk S25Challenger 0.460.310.77 1.10
Drips S17Rival 0.440.441.0 1.15
waynswrld S26Contender 0.50.381.0 1.20
dino_chick3n S24Challenger 0.670.331.19 1.22
MeOnDisplay S17Prospect 0.60.31.0 1.24

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.