Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 417.0 | 11259 |
|
| Goals | 0.96 | 26 |
|
| Assists | 0.78 | 21 |
|
| Saves | 1.7 | 46 |
|
| Shots | 3.11 | 84 |
|
| Demos | 0.85 | 23 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 417.0 | #77 / 1215 | #11 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.96 | #196 / 1215 | #31 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.78 | #102 / 1215 | #16 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.7 | #112 / 1215 | #13 / 166 |
| Demos | 0.85 | #556 / 1215 | #72 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (27 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (38 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11259 | 18765 | 18454 | 18454 | 18320 – 18587 |
| Goals | 26 | 43 | 42 | 44 | 36 – 49 |
| Assists | 21 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 28 – 40 |
| Saves | 46 | 77 | 75 | 75 | 66 – 83 |
| Shots | 84 | 140 | 137 | 140 | 126 – 149 |
| Demos | 23 | 38 | 39 | 38 | 33 – 45 |
| MVPs | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 – 16 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 392.1 |
| Avg boost | 53.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 518.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1614.9 |
| % supersonic | 18.3% |
| % time high in air | 4.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2909.9 |
| % time attacking third | 24.1% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 28.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Challenger | 38 | 1.1 | 0.45 | 1.37 | 394 |
| S26 | Challenger | 27 | 0.96 | 0.78 | 1.7 | 392 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.96 | 1.0 | 0.92 – 1.06 |
| Assists/game | 0.78 | 0.75 | 0.67 – 0.84 |
| Saves/game | 1.7 | 1.62 | 1.54 – 1.7 |
| Shots/game | 3.11 | 3.08 | 2.91 – 3.24 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| slain. | S20 | Elite | 0.92 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.05 |
| Pirate Princess Local! | S24 | Elite | 1.03 | 0.67 | 1.97 | 1.05 |
| phoenix | S22 | Premier | 1.11 | 0.77 | 1.66 | 1.13 |
| Wespyyy | S19 | Master | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.15 |
| Nue. | S14 | Master | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.75 | 1.26 |
| kRs^^ | S23 | Elite | 1.05 | 0.82 | 1.46 | 1.30 |
| FusionBleach | S26 | Premier | 0.94 | 0.72 | 1.56 | 1.30 |
| Galaxiezz. | S25 | Elite | 0.82 | 0.72 | 1.58 | 1.32 |
| ScuLa | S22 | Premier | 0.91 | 0.89 | 1.73 | 1.34 |
| wiickkeddd | S13 | Premier | 1.13 | 0.73 | 1.6 | 1.38 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.