Malik_P4

Rival - Hippos - 16-14 (0.533)
51 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 30 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 51/100 Tier dominance: 43rd (-0.1 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
7% of games
Shot %
34%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 321.57 9647
30th
Goals 0.8 24
55th
Assists 0.6 18
61st
Saves 1.13 34
21st
Shots 2.37 71
35th
Demos 0.83 25
37th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points321.57 #640 / 1215 #95 / 164
Goals0.8 #391 / 1215 #60 / 164
Assists0.6 #344 / 1215 #50 / 164
Saves1.13 #647 / 1215 #105 / 164
Demos0.83 #564 / 1215 #85 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (30 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (82 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 9647 17043 17138 17138 16998 – 17279
Goals 24 42 42 43 35 – 49
Assists 18 32 31 32 25 – 37
Saves 34 60 61 62 53 – 70
Shots 71 125 126 126 114 – 138
Demos 25 44 45 43 38 – 52
MVPs 2 4 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 28 /100

From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 311.2
Avg boost 51.4
Boost stolen / game 507.0
% time at 0 boost 6.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1506.3
% supersonic 10.4%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 2617.9
% time attacking third 23.0%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.7
Shooting % 31.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Rival34 0.910.620.85 294
S25Rival48 0.750.541.73 304
S26Rival26 0.810.621.08 311

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.81 0.8 0.74 – 0.83
Assists/game0.61 0.58 0.55 – 0.65
Saves/game1.08 1.12 1.0 – 1.22
Shots/game2.54 2.63 2.43 – 2.74

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Lad S24Elite 0.740.581.16 0.90
CF0UR_ S25Rival 0.770.751.2 0.91
paul S23Rival 0.710.621.04 0.92
risu S23Challenger 0.80.491.0 0.95
Jay S20Premier 0.80.551.25 1.00
Vaz1fy. S24Veteran 0.740.670.78 1.03
JoeExotic S25Rival 0.680.551.12 1.05
JoeExotic S26Challenger 0.90.621.07 1.06
TSG ICY2587 S19Contender 1.00.581.25 1.07
Jack.flv S19Challenger 0.880.50.88 1.07

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.