Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 366.48 | 7696 |
|
| Goals | 0.86 | 18 |
|
| Assists | 0.52 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.52 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 2.81 | 59 |
|
| Demos | 0.81 | 17 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 366.48 | #295 / 1215 | #19 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.86 | #306 / 1215 | #31 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.52 | #497 / 1215 | #43 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.52 | #232 / 1215 | #14 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.81 | #591 / 1215 | #50 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (21 → ~33 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (128 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7696 | 12094 | 11930 | 11930 | 11831 – 12029 |
| Goals | 18 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 23 – 33 |
| Assists | 11 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 13 – 21 |
| Saves | 32 | 50 | 49 | 48 | 43 – 55 |
| Shots | 59 | 93 | 91 | 93 | 82 – 100 |
| Demos | 17 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 22 – 32 |
| MVPs | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 – 10 |
From 18 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 323.2 |
| Avg boost | 47.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 348.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1376.9 |
| % supersonic | 6.3% |
| % time high in air | 3.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3085.3 |
| % time attacking third | 16.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 30.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Contender | 41 | 1.27 | 0.37 | 0.73 | 326 |
| S22 | Contender | 46 | 1.13 | 0.63 | 1.04 | 336 |
| S24 | Prospect | 41 | 0.8 | 0.42 | 1.39 | 320 |
| S26 | Contender | 18 | 0.94 | 0.44 | 1.61 | 323 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.94 | 0.89 | 0.85 – 1.0 |
| Assists/game | 0.44 | 0.5 | 0.44 – 0.54 |
| Saves/game | 1.61 | 1.46 | 1.39 – 1.6 |
| Shots/game | 3.11 | 2.88 | 2.58 – 2.97 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GeneralZippy | S21 | Master | 0.89 | 0.42 | 1.44 | 1.16 |
| StaRazor | S17 | Amateur | 1.07 | 0.54 | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| Eternalsun | S17 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.44 | 1.81 | 1.40 |
| Fluffles | S13 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| ReedyOrange | S17 | Challenger | 1.12 | 0.5 | 1.62 | 1.51 |
| FlavoredBawls | S26 | Prospect | 1.0 | 0.42 | 1.58 | 1.51 |
| RyGuy2flie | S25 | Contender | 1.02 | 0.67 | 1.64 | 1.55 |
| MiniTechniks | S24 | Prospect | 0.8 | 0.42 | 1.39 | 1.56 |
| The_Killerwon | S23 | Rival | 0.74 | 0.65 | 1.6 | 1.59 |
| Scomps | S24 | Challenger | 0.88 | 0.5 | 1.48 | 1.60 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.