FlavoredBawls

Prospect - FA - 5-7 (0.417)
21 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 12 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 21/100 Tier dominance: 33rd (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
8% of games
Shot %
32%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 381.92 4583
82nd
Goals 1.0 12
83rd
Assists 0.42 5
27th
Saves 1.58 19
88th
Shots 3.17 38
92nd
Demos 0.42 5
11th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points381.92 #210 / 1213 #24 / 161
Goals1.0 #139 / 1213 #19 / 161
Assists0.42 #689 / 1213 #96 / 161
Saves1.58 #183 / 1213 #15 / 161
Demos0.42 #860 / 1213 #119 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (12 → ~20 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (26 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 4583 7638 7471 7471 7390 – 7553
Goals 12 20 19 18 15 – 23
Assists 5 8 9 9 6 – 12
Saves 19 32 31 30 25 – 36
Shots 38 63 61 58 54 – 68
Demos 5 8 10 8 7 – 13
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 31 /100

From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 317.1
Avg boost 54.0
Boost stolen / game 362.2
% time at 0 boost 7.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1452.5
% supersonic 9.3%
% time high in air 3.5%
Avg distance to ball 3131.1
% time attacking third 16.5%
Demos / game 0.4
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 31.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Challenger26 0.420.581.23 328
S26Prospect12 1.00.421.58 317

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.0 1.0 0.88 – 1.13
Assists/game0.42 0.47 0.39 – 0.52
Saves/game1.58 1.5 1.42 – 1.62
Shots/game3.17 2.97 2.75 – 3.12

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
anth0tex S20Challenger 1.170.421.75 1.11
StaRazor S17Amateur 1.070.541.43 1.13
The_Killerwon S22Rival 1.130.531.4 1.23
ReedyOrange S17Challenger 1.120.51.62 1.33
BromzaTheOldMan S21Prospect 1.190.51.38 1.34
GeneralZippy S21Master 0.890.421.44 1.43
mogulmaniac5480 S26Rival 1.120.411.75 1.46
Fluffles S13Rival 1.00.381.5 1.47
MiniTechniks S26Contender 0.940.441.61 1.51
Thenetkiller27 S26Contender 1.080.541.58 1.53

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.