Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 381.92 | 4583 |
|
| Goals | 1.0 | 12 |
|
| Assists | 0.42 | 5 |
|
| Saves | 1.58 | 19 |
|
| Shots | 3.17 | 38 |
|
| Demos | 0.42 | 5 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 381.92 | #210 / 1213 | #24 / 161 |
| Goals | 1.0 | #139 / 1213 | #19 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.42 | #689 / 1213 | #96 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.58 | #183 / 1213 | #15 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.42 | #860 / 1213 | #119 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (12 → ~20 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (26 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4583 | 7638 | 7471 | 7471 | 7390 – 7553 |
| Goals | 12 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 15 – 23 |
| Assists | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 – 12 |
| Saves | 19 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 25 – 36 |
| Shots | 38 | 63 | 61 | 58 | 54 – 68 |
| Demos | 5 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 7 – 13 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 3 |
From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 317.1 |
| Avg boost | 54.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 362.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1452.5 |
| % supersonic | 9.3% |
| % time high in air | 3.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3131.1 |
| % time attacking third | 16.5% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 31.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Challenger | 26 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 1.23 | 328 |
| S26 | Prospect | 12 | 1.0 | 0.42 | 1.58 | 317 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 – 1.13 |
| Assists/game | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.39 – 0.52 |
| Saves/game | 1.58 | 1.5 | 1.42 – 1.62 |
| Shots/game | 3.17 | 2.97 | 2.75 – 3.12 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anth0tex | S20 | Challenger | 1.17 | 0.42 | 1.75 | 1.11 |
| StaRazor | S17 | Amateur | 1.07 | 0.54 | 1.43 | 1.13 |
| The_Killerwon | S22 | Rival | 1.13 | 0.53 | 1.4 | 1.23 |
| ReedyOrange | S17 | Challenger | 1.12 | 0.5 | 1.62 | 1.33 |
| BromzaTheOldMan | S21 | Prospect | 1.19 | 0.5 | 1.38 | 1.34 |
| GeneralZippy | S21 | Master | 0.89 | 0.42 | 1.44 | 1.43 |
| mogulmaniac5480 | S26 | Rival | 1.12 | 0.41 | 1.75 | 1.46 |
| Fluffles | S13 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| MiniTechniks | S26 | Contender | 0.94 | 0.44 | 1.61 | 1.51 |
| Thenetkiller27 | S26 | Contender | 1.08 | 0.54 | 1.58 | 1.53 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.