Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 279.93 | 8118 |
|
| Goals | 0.52 | 15 |
|
| Assists | 0.45 | 13 |
|
| Saves | 1.0 | 29 |
|
| Shots | 2.31 | 67 |
|
| Demos | 0.24 | 7 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 279.93 | #828 / 1215 | #87 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.52 | #789 / 1215 | #90 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.45 | #645 / 1215 | #63 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.0 | #738 / 1215 | #68 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.24 | #923 / 1215 | #107 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (29 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (132 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8118 | 12597 | 12725 | 12725 | 12621 – 12829 |
| Goals | 15 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 19 – 29 |
| Assists | 13 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 – 24 |
| Saves | 29 | 45 | 45 | 46 | 39 – 52 |
| Shots | 67 | 104 | 104 | 105 | 95 – 113 |
| Demos | 7 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 9 – 17 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 25 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 333.7 |
| Avg boost | 53.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 460.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1388.0 |
| % supersonic | 6.8% |
| % time high in air | 2.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2896.3 |
| % time attacking third | 20.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 21.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Prospect | 22 | 0.73 | 0.41 | 0.73 | 263 |
| S22 | Prospect | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 292 |
| S23 | Prospect | 11 | 0.64 | 0.55 | 1.91 | 264 |
| S24 | Prospect | 55 | 0.78 | 0.34 | 1.18 | 292 |
| S25 | Contender | 44 | 0.84 | 0.39 | 1.3 | 318 |
| S26 | Contender | 25 | 0.52 | 0.44 | 1.0 | 334 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.51 – 0.64 |
| Assists/game | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.42 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.0 | 1.07 | 1.0 – 1.17 |
| Shots/game | 2.28 | 2.17 | 2.03 – 2.32 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuummite | S20 | Elite | 0.64 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.75 |
| Carno | S19 | Contender | 0.64 | 0.46 | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| Canadian Things | S23 | Elite | 0.52 | 0.43 | 1.24 | 0.86 |
| kgfan3 | S26 | Contender | 0.59 | 0.53 | 1.12 | 0.89 |
| Theman | S23 | Prospect | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.04 |
| Carno | S26 | Contender | 0.66 | 0.5 | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| Mitzi | S24 | Challenger | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| tterb86 | S14 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.42 | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Alpha Dingo | S24 | Rival | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.98 | 1.12 |
| Ofodo | S17 | Challenger | 0.64 | 0.5 | 1.07 | 1.14 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.