Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 307.58 | 5844 |
|
| Goals | 0.58 | 11 |
|
| Assists | 0.47 | 9 |
|
| Saves | 1.26 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 2.47 | 47 |
|
| Demos | 0.53 | 10 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 307.58 | #715 / 1215 | #61 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.58 | #727 / 1215 | #79 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.47 | #599 / 1215 | #59 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.26 | #506 / 1215 | #38 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.53 | #796 / 1215 | #79 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (19 → ~30 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (211 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5844 | 9227 | 9258 | 9258 | 9169 – 9347 |
| Goals | 11 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 14 – 22 |
| Assists | 9 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 – 18 |
| Saves | 24 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 32 – 43 |
| Shots | 47 | 74 | 74 | 73 | 66 – 82 |
| Demos | 10 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 13 – 21 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 3 |
From 17 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 325.2 |
| Avg boost | 48.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 529.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1396.6 |
| % supersonic | 6.6% |
| % time high in air | 2.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2789.2 |
| % time attacking third | 20.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 24.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 33 | 0.76 | 0.42 | 0.97 | 302 |
| S21 | Prospect | 14 | 0.79 | 0.36 | 1.07 | 320 |
| S23 | Prospect | 58 | 0.72 | 0.4 | 1.24 | 324 |
| S24 | Prospect | 56 | 0.84 | 0.52 | 1.16 | 328 |
| S25 | Contender | 50 | 0.68 | 0.48 | 0.96 | 329 |
| S26 | Contender | 17 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 1.12 | 325 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.57 – 0.64 |
| Assists/game | 0.53 | 0.5 | 0.46 – 0.58 |
| Saves/game | 1.12 | 1.15 | 1.07 – 1.24 |
| Shots/game | 2.53 | 2.38 | 2.26 – 2.54 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ofodo | S17 | Challenger | 0.64 | 0.5 | 1.07 | 0.66 |
| flamethrowr | S25 | Elite | 0.61 | 0.63 | 1.15 | 0.83 |
| tterb86 | S21 | Rival | 0.63 | 0.53 | 1.1 | 0.84 |
| Theman | S23 | Prospect | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.86 |
| Bachleon | S17 | Veteran | 0.57 | 0.5 | 1.29 | 0.89 |
| flamethrowr | S25 | Elite | 0.67 | 0.58 | 1.33 | 0.89 |
| MysticMax07 | S26 | Contender | 0.52 | 0.44 | 1.0 | 0.89 |
| flamethrowr | S23 | Elite | 0.52 | 0.4 | 1.16 | 0.94 |
| SSpekky | S13 | Rival | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.96 |
| Racer | S20 | Elite | 0.57 | 0.43 | 1.21 | 0.97 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.