Noriko

Premier - Valkyries - 4-6 (0.400)
97 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 10 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 97/100 Tier dominance: 42nd (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Premier Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
20% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Premier)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 345.5 3455
48th
Goals 0.8 8
63rd
Assists 0.5 5
31st
Saves 1.3 13
33rd
Shots 2.4 24
33rd
Demos 0.8 8
17th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Premier
Points345.5 #460 / 1213 #27 / 73
Goals0.8 #380 / 1213 #19 / 73
Assists0.5 #509 / 1213 #32 / 73
Saves1.3 #466 / 1213 #34 / 73
Demos0.8 #585 / 1213 #42 / 73

Season projection

Low confidence

64% of the season is played (10 → ~16 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (109 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3455 5528 5574 5574 5506 – 5642
Goals 8 13 13 13 10 – 16
Assists 5 8 8 9 6 – 11
Saves 13 21 21 21 17 – 25
Shots 24 38 39 39 34 – 45
Demos 8 13 14 13 10 – 18
MVPs 2 3 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 62 /100

From 10 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 438.6
Avg boost 50.1
Boost stolen / game 545.8
% time at 0 boost 14.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1602.2
% supersonic 17.1%
% time high in air 7.7%
Avg distance to ball 2928.7
% time attacking third 18.1%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 31.5%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Premier11 0.180.641.36 369
S22Master28 1.180.641.54 461
S23Premier28 1.00.611.04 428
S24Premier42 0.860.811.52 440
S26Premier10 0.80.51.3 439

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~66 OVR Medium confidence — inferred from 79 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 97.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)2170974-738 57% 396
RSC (official)85-3 62% 372
Non-RSC ranked 3v37926-22 54% 330
Non-RSC other2083943-713 57% 399

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.8 0.76 0.68 – 0.83
Assists/game0.5 0.51 0.42 – 0.58
Saves/game1.3 1.34 1.25 – 1.44
Shots/game2.4 2.33 2.25 – 2.46

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Noriko S19Premier 0.780.441.44 0.79
T. S19Premier 0.620.51.25 0.97
Tall_28 S25Rival 0.560.531.34 1.17
haileyset S26Rival 0.570.571.43 1.19
CrowBar7570 S24Rival 0.890.511.13 1.21
Ray S17Elite 0.850.381.46 1.22
sej. S22Veteran 0.660.451.47 1.23
Des. S20Rival 0.750.671.17 1.25
bradyK- S23Veteran 0.740.61.23 1.26
Noriko S23Premier 1.00.611.04 1.27

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.