Parallax

Prospect - Red Legion - 18-14 (0.562)
30 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 30/100 Tier dominance: 93rd (+1.5 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker / Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
11
34% of games
Shot %
38%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 413.81 13242
90th
Goals 1.03 33
86th
Assists 0.44 14
34th
Saves 1.56 50
86th
Shots 2.75 88
72nd
Demos 1.09 35
69th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points413.81 #92 / 1213 #13 / 161
Goals1.03 #134 / 1213 #18 / 161
Assists0.44 #647 / 1213 #87 / 161
Saves1.56 #200 / 1213 #19 / 161
Demos1.09 #335 / 1213 #41 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 13242 21932 21579 21434 – 21723
Goals 33 55 53 46 – 61
Assists 14 23 24 19 – 29
Saves 50 83 81 73 – 90
Shots 88 146 144 132 – 156
Demos 35 58 57 50 – 65
MVPs 11 18 17 13 – 21

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 91 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 358.3
Avg boost 47.8
Boost stolen / game 637.3
% time at 0 boost 12.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1492.9
% supersonic 11.7%
% time high in air 4.6%
Avg distance to ball 2763.2
% time attacking third 22.7%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 37.8%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~62 OVR High confidence — inferred from 961 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 30.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)43351773-1636 52% 367
RSC (official)5319-24 44% 329
Non-RSC ranked 3v3961370-374 50% 324
Non-RSC other33211384-1238 53% 380

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.03 1.0 0.94 – 1.02
Assists/game0.44 0.46 0.41 – 0.53
Saves/game1.56 1.5 1.44 – 1.56
Shots/game2.75 2.84 2.65 – 2.97

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
RyanAwesome_ S24Veteran 0.980.521.55 0.80
wat S20Rival 1.00.561.5 0.86
Celiscy S24Rival 1.020.351.28 0.95
yurrbo? S21Rival 0.890.561.5 0.97
Pana S24Rival 1.140.51.47 1.01
Its Jo Time S18Prospect 0.880.381.62 1.01
S horty S26Contender 0.920.421.65 1.04
yurrbo? S25Veteran 1.130.531.63 1.05
Chung S19Rival 0.880.381.44 1.08
IIIYummyIII S24Rival 1.030.541.36 1.09

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.