Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 370.17 | 13326 |
|
| Goals | 0.83 | 30 |
|
| Assists | 0.58 | 21 |
|
| Saves | 1.36 | 49 |
|
| Shots | 2.61 | 94 |
|
| Demos | 1.78 | 64 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Amateur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 370.17 | #277 / 1215 | #10 / 61 |
| Goals | 0.83 | #331 / 1215 | #18 / 61 |
| Assists | 0.58 | #386 / 1215 | #12 / 61 |
| Saves | 1.36 | #403 / 1215 | #4 / 61 |
| Demos | 1.78 | #70 / 1215 | #1 / 61 |
69% of the season is played (36 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (137 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 13326 | 19249 | 19035 | 19035 | 18922 – 19148 |
| Goals | 30 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 38 – 49 |
| Assists | 21 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 25 – 34 |
| Saves | 49 | 71 | 69 | 69 | 63 – 76 |
| Shots | 94 | 136 | 134 | 134 | 125 – 144 |
| Demos | 64 | 92 | 89 | 92 | 82 – 97 |
| MVPs | 13 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 15 – 22 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 287.1 |
| Avg boost | 49.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 488.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1385.3 |
| % supersonic | 9.0% |
| % time high in air | 2.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3374.0 |
| % time attacking third | 19.4% |
| Demos / game | 1.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 31.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Contender | 3 | 0.0 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 274 |
| S21 | Contender | 39 | 0.85 | 0.38 | 0.87 | 275 |
| S22 | Contender | 15 | 0.67 | 0.47 | 0.6 | 284 |
| S23 | Prospect | 32 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.72 | 292 |
| S24 | Prospect | 31 | 0.61 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 243 |
| S25 | Contender | 20 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.95 | 239 |
| S26 | Amateur | 31 | 0.94 | 0.61 | 1.32 | 287 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.94 | 0.82 | 0.75 – 0.92 |
| Assists/game | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.48 – 0.66 |
| Saves/game | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.15 – 1.38 |
| Shots/game | 2.65 | 2.45 | 2.25 – 2.73 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piky Life88 | S19 | Amateur | 0.96 | 0.75 | 1.08 | 1.30 |
| Primed | S20 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Xcalibur9659 | S26 | Prospect | 0.9 | 0.52 | 1.17 | 1.36 |
| GET2DACHOPPA5 | S20 | Prospect | 0.79 | 0.48 | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| j_durv | S25 | Contender | 0.87 | 0.6 | 1.08 | 1.51 |
| Jean_Christ | S18 | Rival | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.18 | 1.52 |
| Preaux. | S23 | Challenger | 0.96 | 0.41 | 1.23 | 1.60 |
| GET2DACHOPPA5 | S23 | Challenger | 0.82 | 0.55 | 1.46 | 1.63 |
| TRobb | S14 | Amateur | 0.7 | 0.59 | 1.18 | 1.70 |
| Wendeezfofofo | S21 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.38 | 1.38 | 1.77 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.