Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 340.36 | 11232 |
|
| Goals | 0.88 | 29 |
|
| Assists | 0.52 | 17 |
|
| Saves | 1.09 | 36 |
|
| Shots | 2.12 | 70 |
|
| Demos | 1.42 | 47 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 340.36 | #500 / 1215 | #59 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.88 | #274 / 1215 | #39 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.52 | #509 / 1215 | #68 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.09 | #691 / 1215 | #85 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.42 | #160 / 1215 | #14 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (33 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (60 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11232 | 18720 | 18678 | 18678 | 18541 – 18815 |
| Goals | 29 | 48 | 48 | 47 | 41 – 55 |
| Assists | 17 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 23 – 34 |
| Saves | 36 | 60 | 61 | 61 | 53 – 68 |
| Shots | 70 | 117 | 118 | 114 | 107 – 129 |
| Demos | 47 | 78 | 76 | 75 | 68 – 85 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 299.1 |
| Avg boost | 57.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 474.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 5.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1427.1 |
| % supersonic | 7.4% |
| % time high in air | 3.9% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3046.2 |
| % time attacking third | 19.0% |
| Demos / game | 1.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 42.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Challenger | 30 | 0.7 | 0.23 | 1.47 | 278 |
| S25 | Prospect | 30 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 1.13 | 307 |
| S26 | Prospect | 29 | 0.9 | 0.52 | 1.17 | 299 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.9 | 0.76 | 0.74 – 0.82 |
| Assists/game | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.42 – 0.53 |
| Saves/game | 1.17 | 1.22 | 1.13 – 1.35 |
| Shots/game | 2.17 | 2.23 | 2.12 – 2.3 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shraggaholic | S22 | Contender | 0.74 | 0.53 | 1.13 | 0.98 |
| Primed | S20 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1.38 | 1.05 |
| Preaux. | S23 | Challenger | 0.96 | 0.41 | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| SludgeMixFuzz | S23 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.43 | 0.95 | 1.18 |
| xNerdyGamer | S26 | Contender | 0.78 | 0.56 | 1.12 | 1.19 |
| Chis | S17 | Veteran | 0.78 | 0.67 | 1.22 | 1.28 |
| Chicken | S20 | Rival | 0.68 | 0.39 | 1.18 | 1.30 |
| Pure_Pusher | S22 | Challenger | 1.0 | 0.42 | 1.15 | 1.31 |
| BromzaTheOldMan | S23 | Challenger | 0.79 | 0.47 | 1.28 | 1.32 |
| j_durv | S25 | Contender | 0.87 | 0.6 | 1.08 | 1.34 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.