Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 493.5 | 5922 |
|
| Goals | 1.42 | 17 |
|
| Assists | 0.92 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.83 | 22 |
|
| Shots | 3.5 | 42 |
|
| Demos | 2.25 | 27 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Veteran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 493.5 | #5 / 1213 | #2 / 169 |
| Goals | 1.42 | #12 / 1213 | #2 / 169 |
| Assists | 0.92 | #41 / 1213 | #10 / 169 |
| Saves | 1.83 | #60 / 1213 | #13 / 169 |
| Demos | 2.25 | #24 / 1213 | #7 / 169 |
56% of the season is played (12 → ~21 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (100 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5922 | 10364 | 9856 | 9856 | 9759 – 9952 |
| Goals | 17 | 30 | 27 | 27 | 22 – 32 |
| Assists | 11 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 14 – 22 |
| Saves | 22 | 38 | 37 | 36 | 31 – 43 |
| Shots | 42 | 74 | 70 | 68 | 62 – 78 |
| Demos | 27 | 47 | 43 | 43 | 37 – 49 |
| MVPs | 7 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 – 14 |
From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 396.4 |
| Avg boost | 49.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 562.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1541.5 |
| % supersonic | 15.4% |
| % time high in air | 5.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2816.8 |
| % time attacking third | 24.4% |
| Demos / game | 2.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 43.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 9 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 1.44 | 351 |
| S22 | Rival | 2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 363 |
| S23 | Rival | 24 | 1.08 | 0.38 | 1.08 | 320 |
| S24 | Veteran | 29 | 0.59 | 0.45 | 1.48 | 323 |
| S25 | Veteran | 38 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 1.34 | 375 |
| S26 | Veteran | 12 | 1.42 | 0.92 | 1.83 | 396 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.42 | 1.22 | 1.08 – 1.33 |
| Assists/game | 0.92 | 0.75 | 0.67 – 0.85 |
| Saves/game | 1.83 | 1.54 | 1.46 – 1.7 |
| Shots/game | 3.5 | 3.46 | 3.19 – 3.75 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tide | S23 | Premier | 1.44 | 0.69 | 1.54 | 1.80 |
| DoorTK | S20 | Elite | 1.29 | 0.67 | 1.54 | 1.97 |
| rafiki | S25 | Elite | 1.12 | 0.85 | 1.48 | 2.03 |
| maki | S20 | Master | 1.38 | 0.75 | 2.38 | 2.08 |
| HardPointy | S21 | Veteran | 1.44 | 0.62 | 1.75 | 2.13 |
| moose | S14 | Veteran | 1.14 | 0.71 | 1.43 | 2.17 |
| Talent? | S23 | Veteran | 0.96 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Whitlock7 | S26 | Premier | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.57 | 2.34 |
| Yeetn-Skeet | S17 | Veteran | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 2.37 |
| Trickter02 | S23 | Veteran | 1.33 | 0.61 | 1.94 | 2.42 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.