Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 351.78 | 11257 |
|
| Goals | 0.88 | 28 |
|
| Assists | 0.38 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 0.91 | 29 |
|
| Shots | 2.84 | 91 |
|
| Demos | 0.5 | 16 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Amateur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 351.78 | #406 / 1213 | #10 / 61 |
| Goals | 0.88 | #286 / 1213 | #18 / 61 |
| Assists | 0.38 | #750 / 1213 | #27 / 61 |
| Saves | 0.91 | #832 / 1213 | #22 / 61 |
| Demos | 0.5 | #797 / 1213 | #30 / 61 |
69% of the season is played (32 → ~46 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (137 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11257 | 16182 | 16019 | 16019 | 15917 – 16122 |
| Goals | 28 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 35 – 45 |
| Assists | 12 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 14 – 21 |
| Saves | 29 | 42 | 42 | 41 | 36 – 47 |
| Shots | 91 | 131 | 129 | 129 | 119 – 138 |
| Demos | 16 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 20 – 28 |
| MVPs | 8 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 – 14 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 318.5 |
| Avg boost | 51.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 383.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1426.3 |
| % supersonic | 8.7% |
| % time high in air | 3.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3165.1 |
| % time attacking third | 20.0% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 28.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Amateur | 26 | 0.5 | 0.46 | 0.58 | 320 |
| S24 | Amateur | 55 | 0.91 | 0.44 | 0.8 | 298 |
| S25 | Amateur | 56 | 0.88 | 0.52 | 0.82 | 327 |
| S26 | Amateur | 32 | 0.88 | 0.38 | 0.91 | 318 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.88 | 0.87 | 0.82 – 0.93 |
| Assists/game | 0.38 | 0.42 | 0.35 – 0.47 |
| Saves/game | 0.91 | 0.95 | 0.86 – 1.0 |
| Shots/game | 2.84 | 2.73 | 2.58 – 2.83 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MobBossCitrus | S24 | Challenger | 0.92 | 0.46 | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| RL Camaro | S25 | Amateur | 0.88 | 0.52 | 0.82 | 0.87 |
| ChrisakaMrXD | S13 | Elite | 0.92 | 0.42 | 0.83 | 0.88 |
| fender_bender2 | S25 | Prospect | 0.83 | 0.33 | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Mortal Frenzy | S26 | Contender | 0.83 | 0.5 | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| Auty RL | S24 | Challenger | 0.83 | 0.4 | 0.98 | 1.09 |
| El_Macho | S23 | Challenger | 0.64 | 0.36 | 0.71 | 1.10 |
| OG_Cuddles_ | S19 | Contender | 0.82 | 0.27 | 0.82 | 1.10 |
| Ducky | S17 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.5 | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| Bieles | S26 | Prospect | 0.92 | 0.5 | 1.08 | 1.13 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.