Redline

Prospect - Prism Proteges - 7-6 (0.538)
24 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 13 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 24/100 Tier dominance: 57th (+0.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
15% of games
Shot %
27%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 307.31 3995
33rd
Goals 0.77 10
53rd
Assists 0.92 12
95th
Saves 0.77 10
8th
Shots 2.85 37
80th
Demos 0.54 7
22nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points307.31 #716 / 1215 #89 / 161
Goals0.77 #438 / 1215 #62 / 161
Assists0.92 #37 / 1215 #6 / 161
Saves0.77 #888 / 1215 #123 / 161
Demos0.54 #785 / 1215 #103 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (13 → ~22 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (167 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3995 6761 6841 6841 6759 – 6922
Goals 10 17 17 17 13 – 21
Assists 12 20 19 19 15 – 23
Saves 10 17 18 18 14 – 23
Shots 37 63 61 61 54 – 69
Demos 7 12 13 10 9 – 17
MVPs 2 3 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 9 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 249.8
Avg boost 51.9
Boost stolen / game 342.3
% time at 0 boost 5.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1355.3
% supersonic 4.9%
% time high in air 3.0%
Avg distance to ball 2567.3
% time attacking third 21.3%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.6
Shooting % 36.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Challenger8 0.380.881.12 238
S21Challenger8 0.380.250.75 271
S22Challenger24 0.620.751.04 258
S23Challenger55 0.860.670.98 242
S24Challenger30 0.730.431.5 240
S25Challenger42 0.620.331.05 241
S26Prospect9 0.780.780.78 250

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~47 OVR High confidence — inferred from 373 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 24.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)60672158-2602 45% 321
RSC (official)6522-28 44% 311
Non-RSC ranked 3v3373134-154 47% 300
Non-RSC other56292002-2420 45% 322

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.78 0.82 0.7 – 0.92
Assists/game0.78 0.67 0.62 – 0.75
Saves/game0.78 0.93 0.81 – 1.0
Shots/game2.78 2.54 2.42 – 2.64

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Redline S23Challenger 0.860.670.98 1.12
NoBo_ostNaga S18Amateur 0.820.650.72 1.24
Rhinocersaurus S17Amateur 1.00.930.93 1.25
x ARC Fives x S26Challenger 0.690.590.76 1.35
Redline S22Challenger 0.620.751.04 1.36
lone wolf S25Prospect 1.020.770.81 1.42
Fox_gt_400 S23Challenger 0.840.650.86 1.45
Way2Luckee S14Rival 0.880.750.75 1.52
mushxie S22Amateur 0.60.740.97 1.53
NICEBLOCK7896 S18Amateur 0.930.590.7 1.53

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.