Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 297.03 | 9802 |
|
| Goals | 0.73 | 24 |
|
| Assists | 0.64 | 21 |
|
| Saves | 0.73 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 2.82 | 93 |
|
| Demos | 0.61 | 20 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 297.03 | #770 / 1215 | #113 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.73 | #513 / 1215 | #71 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.64 | #287 / 1215 | #38 / 164 |
| Saves | 0.73 | #904 / 1215 | #131 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.61 | #750 / 1215 | #113 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (33 → ~59 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (97 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9802 | 17525 | 17749 | 17749 | 17603 – 17895 |
| Goals | 24 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 36 – 50 |
| Assists | 21 | 38 | 37 | 36 | 30 – 44 |
| Saves | 24 | 43 | 46 | 45 | 38 – 54 |
| Shots | 93 | 166 | 165 | 165 | 151 – 178 |
| Demos | 20 | 36 | 38 | 37 | 31 – 45 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 10 |
From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 262.1 |
| Avg boost | 55.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 473.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1399.6 |
| % supersonic | 6.5% |
| % time high in air | 4.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3012.8 |
| % time attacking third | 22.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 26.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 11 | 0.91 | 0.46 | 1.0 | 305 |
| S21 | Challenger | 8 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.25 | 279 |
| S22 | Rival | 8 | 0.88 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 303 |
| S23 | Rival | 54 | 0.65 | 0.56 | 0.98 | 287 |
| S25 | Rival | 16 | 0.69 | 0.31 | 0.56 | 278 |
| S26 | Challenger | 29 | 0.69 | 0.59 | 0.76 | 262 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.69 | 0.82 | 0.69 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.5 – 0.65 |
| Saves/game | 0.76 | 0.85 | 0.75 – 1.0 |
| Shots/game | 2.83 | 2.52 | 2.43 – 2.64 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tterb86 | S13 | Veteran | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.21 |
| Hawkish | S21 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.58 | 1.0 | 1.23 |
| tterb86 | S20 | Rival | 0.92 | 0.58 | 1.0 | 1.25 |
| NoBo_ostNaga | S18 | Amateur | 0.82 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 1.31 |
| Fox_gt_400 | S23 | Challenger | 0.84 | 0.65 | 0.86 | 1.35 |
| Redline | S26 | Prospect | 0.78 | 0.78 | 0.78 | 1.35 |
| ShinxX403 | S22 | Challenger | 0.64 | 0.5 | 1.14 | 1.35 |
| x ARC Fives x | S23 | Rival | 0.65 | 0.56 | 0.98 | 1.36 |
| Kush_the_Ninja | S13 | Contender | 0.82 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 1.36 |
| Malik_P4 | S24 | Rival | 0.91 | 0.62 | 0.85 | 1.41 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Note: this name has 2 entries (e.g. a substitute in another tier); showing the most-played one.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.