River.

Elite - Great Whites - 16-15 (0.516)
83 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 31 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 83/100 Tier dominance: 77th (+0.6 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
16% of games
Shot %
18%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 338.26 10486
34th
Goals 0.68 21
30th
Assists 0.71 22
74th
Saves 1.03 32
16th
Shots 3.71 115
98th
Demos 1.0 31
50th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points338.26 #516 / 1215 #85 / 179
Goals0.68 #596 / 1215 #89 / 179
Assists0.71 #178 / 1215 #33 / 179
Saves1.03 #734 / 1215 #109 / 179
Demos1.0 #387 / 1215 #57 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (31 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 10486 18604 18685 18537 – 18832
Goals 21 37 38 31 – 44
Assists 22 39 38 32 – 45
Saves 32 57 59 50 – 67
Shots 115 204 198 184 – 213
Demos 31 55 55 47 – 63
MVPs 5 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 72 /100

From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 389.9
Avg boost 54.1
Boost stolen / game 558.8
% time at 0 boost 10.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1587.3
% supersonic 14.8%
% time high in air 4.8%
Avg distance to ball 2910.3
% time attacking third 22.1%
Demos / game 1.7
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 24.5%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~58 OVR High confidence — inferred from 165 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 83.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1262545-467 54% 431
RSC (official)81-4 20% 338
Non-RSC ranked 3v316565-59 52% 318
Non-RSC other1089479-404 54% 449

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.67 0.85 0.75 – 0.88
Assists/game0.78 0.7 0.67 – 0.75
Saves/game1.04 1.18 1.11 – 1.28
Shots/game3.67 3.26 3.25 – 3.38

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
SleepyCrimson_ S25Challenger 0.80.70.9 1.11
Smyte. S26Veteran 0.750.791.12 1.18
NotLuke9 S26Elite 0.840.881.0 1.34
RegularlyJones S22Elite 0.880.751.12 1.50
Aki S22Elite 0.830.751.17 1.51
JoJo-sepy S24Veteran 0.950.671.14 1.55
7aco104 S25Challenger 0.890.741.09 1.57
.Andy S20Premier 0.880.691.31 1.60
Shanerbaner S13Master 0.50.671.42 1.60
maj S19Premier 0.50.621.25 1.65

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.