RobinPW

Master - Nightmare - 11-16 (0.407)
89 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 27 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 89/100 Tier dominance: 28th (-0.6 SD) Projects as: Master Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
15% of games
Shot %
23%

Per-game production (percentile within Master)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 384.7 10387
72nd
Goals 0.52 14
19th
Assists 0.52 14
49th
Saves 2.11 57
96th
Shots 2.26 61
27th
Demos 1.56 42
74th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Master
Points384.7 #190 / 1215 #22 / 107
Goals0.52 #788 / 1215 #63 / 107
Assists0.52 #503 / 1215 #40 / 107
Saves2.11 #15 / 1215 #3 / 107
Demos1.56 #115 / 1215 #20 / 107

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (27 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 10387 17312 17166 17036 – 17296
Goals 14 23 24 19 – 29
Assists 14 23 23 19 – 28
Saves 57 95 92 83 – 101
Shots 61 102 103 93 – 113
Demos 42 70 69 60 – 77
MVPs 4 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 67 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 442.1
Avg boost 50.5
Boost stolen / game 653.1
% time at 0 boost 13.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1551.9
% supersonic 16.8%
% time high in air 5.6%
Avg distance to ball 2992.2
% time attacking third 19.3%
Demos / game 1.6
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 22.8%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~89 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1765 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 89.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)61472425-2362 51% 426
RSC (official)32-0 100% 425
Non-RSC ranked 3v31765644-659 49% 367
Non-RSC other43791779-1703 51% 450

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.52 0.59 0.54 – 0.69
Assists/game0.48 0.5 0.4 – 0.51
Saves/game1.78 1.7 1.58 – 1.79
Shots/game2.26 2.26 2.13 – 2.4

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Hypernova S25Veteran 0.590.51.87 1.13
Yami ^^ S24Elite 0.660.621.78 1.14
MasonJar S24Rival 0.620.541.85 1.23
wicked S25Master 0.440.471.66 1.36
Slvr. S26Master 0.610.541.71 1.37
RealMrGreen S25Rival 0.60.511.57 1.40
KingBonkk S13Rival 0.250.51.83 1.40
Kos S26Elite 0.710.461.54 1.41
DQ. S23Master 0.480.371.7 1.41
Snipes S23Master 0.710.51.58 1.41

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.