Rosefanatic3615

Challenger - Reef Gremlins - 18-18 (0.500)
40 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 36 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 40/100 Tier dominance: 68th (+0.3 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
11% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 348.22 12536
56th
Goals 0.83 30
63rd
Assists 0.64 23
74th
Saves 1.03 37
17th
Shots 2.89 104
79th
Demos 0.36 13
5th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points348.22 #439 / 1215 #58 / 166
Goals0.83 #331 / 1215 #48 / 166
Assists0.64 #281 / 1215 #35 / 166
Saves1.03 #737 / 1215 #111 / 166
Demos0.36 #894 / 1215 #127 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (36 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12536 20893 20863 20718 – 21009
Goals 30 50 50 43 – 57
Assists 23 38 38 32 – 44
Saves 37 62 63 55 – 71
Shots 104 173 172 159 – 185
Demos 13 22 24 19 – 30
MVPs 4 7 7 4 – 10

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 26 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 357.0
Avg boost 49.2
Boost stolen / game 460.5
% time at 0 boost 10.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1458.5
% supersonic 8.0%
% time high in air 3.4%
Avg distance to ball 3005.8
% time attacking third 24.6%
Demos / game 0.3
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 28.0%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.91 0.92 0.87 – 1.02
Assists/game0.62 0.6 0.52 – 0.68
Saves/game1.06 1.03 0.96 – 1.16
Shots/game3.12 2.94 2.82 – 3.2

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
.S S22Veteran 0.970.61.03 1.12
ttv. blestbb S24Elite 1.00.471.0 1.13
Geherpaderp S21Master 1.020.520.96 1.20
YRA S20Rival 0.80.671.13 1.26
RaunchyRomanian S23Elite 0.880.751.16 1.27
EyeSucka S26Rival 0.880.621.08 1.28
PoupSoup S22Rival 0.920.581.17 1.29
Nuummite S24Veteran 1.080.661.02 1.33
xypheron S24Challenger 0.640.611.18 1.36
DaScrappyDoo S20Challenger 0.80.71.1 1.36

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.