Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 289.2 | 5784 |
|
| Goals | 0.55 | 11 |
|
| Assists | 0.55 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.1 | 22 |
|
| Shots | 1.95 | 39 |
|
| Demos | 0.35 | 7 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 289.2 | #806 / 1215 | #104 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.55 | #758 / 1215 | #105 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.55 | #452 / 1215 | #59 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.1 | #683 / 1215 | #83 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.35 | #899 / 1215 | #127 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (20 → ~33 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (98 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5784 | 9544 | 9697 | 9697 | 9600 – 9794 |
| Goals | 11 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 14 – 23 |
| Assists | 11 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 14 – 22 |
| Saves | 22 | 36 | 37 | 36 | 31 – 43 |
| Shots | 39 | 64 | 66 | 64 | 58 – 74 |
| Demos | 7 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 – 18 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 4 |
From 17 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 315.2 |
| Avg boost | 44.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 426.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 15.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1393.2 |
| % supersonic | 6.8% |
| % time high in air | 3.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3064.5 |
| % time attacking third | 20.7% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 32.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 25 | 0.24 | 0.4 | 1.24 | 290 |
| S21 | Prospect | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 295 |
| S22 | Contender | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 305 |
| S23 | Challenger | 7 | 0.29 | 0.14 | 1.14 | 288 |
| S24 | Prospect | 37 | 0.51 | 0.35 | 1.19 | 292 |
| S25 | Prospect | 36 | 0.89 | 0.44 | 0.89 | 327 |
| S26 | Prospect | 17 | 0.53 | 0.65 | 1.12 | 315 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.52 – 0.62 |
| Assists/game | 0.65 | 0.56 | 0.5 – 0.64 |
| Saves/game | 1.12 | 1.1 | 1.03 – 1.24 |
| Shots/game | 2.06 | 2.21 | 1.93 – 2.36 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auty RL | S23 | Challenger | 0.71 | 0.58 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| robophant | S23 | Challenger | 0.55 | 0.55 | 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Speciial_Eddy | S21 | Prospect | 0.6 | 0.73 | 1.33 | 0.99 |
| TV_ImpactReapz | S20 | Challenger | 0.43 | 0.64 | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| Sky | S23 | Elite | 0.5 | 0.68 | 1.24 | 1.05 |
| kgfan3 | S26 | Contender | 0.59 | 0.53 | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| tterb86 | S21 | Rival | 0.63 | 0.53 | 1.1 | 1.06 |
| stealthman777 | S23 | Veteran | 0.51 | 0.53 | 1.06 | 1.08 |
| Bachleon | S17 | Veteran | 0.57 | 0.5 | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Nuummite | S20 | Elite | 0.64 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.12 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.