S_ckz

Elite - Forest Cobra - 9-10 (0.474)
82 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 19 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 82/100 Tier dominance: 71st (+0.5 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
10% of games
Shot %
32%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 364.42 6924
58th
Goals 0.95 18
81st
Assists 0.63 12
61st
Saves 1.32 25
40th
Shots 2.95 56
77th
Demos 1.32 25
73rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points364.42 #307 / 1215 #54 / 179
Goals0.95 #201 / 1215 #24 / 179
Assists0.63 #291 / 1215 #50 / 179
Saves1.32 #457 / 1215 #77 / 179
Demos1.32 #213 / 1215 #34 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (19 → ~34 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (183 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6924 12390 12347 12347 12229 – 12464
Goals 18 32 31 32 26 – 37
Assists 12 21 21 21 16 – 26
Saves 25 45 45 46 38 – 52
Shots 56 100 99 98 88 – 109
Demos 25 45 44 46 37 – 50
MVPs 2 4 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 70 /100

From 16 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 429.5
Avg boost 49.5
Boost stolen / game 570.5
% time at 0 boost 14.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1543.0
% supersonic 13.8%
% time high in air 6.3%
Avg distance to ball 2832.2
% time attacking third 21.4%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 30.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Veteran12 1.250.421.67 424
S22Veteran20 0.80.61.5 431
S23Veteran46 0.590.521.41 408
S24Veteran60 1.020.81.17 411
S25Elite45 0.80.61.78 407
S26Elite16 0.880.51.25 429

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.88 0.85 0.81 – 0.91
Assists/game0.5 0.52 0.5 – 0.59
Saves/game1.25 1.25 1.2 – 1.38
Shots/game2.81 2.71 2.6 – 2.81

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Axlos (Goofy and Silly) S23Elite 0.860.51.24 0.79
wall2wall3 S23Elite 0.920.571.24 0.83
Wafe S22Veteran 0.810.531.42 0.86
Gyarados-_- S26Rival 0.940.521.45 0.87
xDracO0 S24Rival 0.910.491.2 0.90
xDracO0 S23Rival 0.860.611.3 0.94
Meta.RL- S24Challenger 1.020.541.06 0.95
Rzemb1e S25Master 1.020.471.5 0.98
Donkeh . S25Rival 0.980.591.36 0.99
Kagura. S23Master 0.730.521.29 1.00

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.