SardonicOx

Prospect - Roly Polies - 17-11 (0.607)
29 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 29/100 Tier dominance: 94th (+1.6 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
21% of games
Shot %
41%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 432.0 12096
97th
Goals 1.25 35
95th
Assists 1.0 28
96th
Saves 1.14 32
43rd
Shots 3.07 86
91st
Demos 0.46 13
14th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points432.0 #38 / 1215 #4 / 161
Goals1.25 #35 / 1215 #5 / 161
Assists1.0 #15 / 1215 #4 / 161
Saves1.14 #637 / 1215 #75 / 161
Demos0.46 #849 / 1215 #114 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (116 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 12096 20304 19876 19876 19736 – 20016
Goals 35 59 57 59 49 – 64
Assists 28 47 45 44 39 – 52
Saves 32 54 54 56 47 – 61
Shots 86 144 141 146 130 – 153
Demos 13 22 24 22 19 – 29
MVPs 6 10 10 10 7 – 13

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 77 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 296.1
Avg boost 51.3
Boost stolen / game 444.1
% time at 0 boost 6.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1370.6
% supersonic 6.1%
% time high in air 3.8%
Avg distance to ball 2945.9
% time attacking third 20.2%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 41.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Amateur48 1.620.481.27 329
S24Challenger13 0.460.311.38 305
S25Prospect55 1.020.441.69 284
S26Prospect24 1.291.041.12 296

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.29 1.17 1.12 – 1.27
Assists/game1.04 0.8 0.75 – 0.93
Saves/game1.12 1.21 0.93 – 1.27
Shots/game3.12 2.96 2.54 – 3.12

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
AnarcrisT S19Rival 1.330.931.27 1.47
ZeroPop11 S18Rival 1.250.921.25 1.53
MauiDestroYa S14Challenger 1.01.01.43 1.58
le bin. S26Challenger 1.070.861.34 1.66
Rhinocersaurus S17Amateur 1.00.930.93 1.67
Merioch S19Challenger 1.41.01.3 1.77
Rampage S19Amateur 1.410.860.8 1.78
LostZealous S20Prospect 1.140.81.37 1.81
Bev ski S19Rival 1.120.751.0 1.81
MiniTechniks S19Contender 1.170.751.33 1.85

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.