Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 432.0 | 12096 |
|
| Goals | 1.25 | 35 |
|
| Assists | 1.0 | 28 |
|
| Saves | 1.14 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 3.07 | 86 |
|
| Demos | 0.46 | 13 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 432.0 | #38 / 1215 | #4 / 161 |
| Goals | 1.25 | #35 / 1215 | #5 / 161 |
| Assists | 1.0 | #15 / 1215 | #4 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.14 | #637 / 1215 | #75 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.46 | #849 / 1215 | #114 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (116 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12096 | 20304 | 19876 | 19876 | 19736 – 20016 |
| Goals | 35 | 59 | 57 | 59 | 49 – 64 |
| Assists | 28 | 47 | 45 | 44 | 39 – 52 |
| Saves | 32 | 54 | 54 | 56 | 47 – 61 |
| Shots | 86 | 144 | 141 | 146 | 130 – 153 |
| Demos | 13 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 19 – 29 |
| MVPs | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 – 13 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 296.1 |
| Avg boost | 51.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 444.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1370.6 |
| % supersonic | 6.1% |
| % time high in air | 3.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2945.9 |
| % time attacking third | 20.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 41.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Amateur | 48 | 1.62 | 0.48 | 1.27 | 329 |
| S24 | Challenger | 13 | 0.46 | 0.31 | 1.38 | 305 |
| S25 | Prospect | 55 | 1.02 | 0.44 | 1.69 | 284 |
| S26 | Prospect | 24 | 1.29 | 1.04 | 1.12 | 296 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.29 | 1.17 | 1.12 – 1.27 |
| Assists/game | 1.04 | 0.8 | 0.75 – 0.93 |
| Saves/game | 1.12 | 1.21 | 0.93 – 1.27 |
| Shots/game | 3.12 | 2.96 | 2.54 – 3.12 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnarcrisT | S19 | Rival | 1.33 | 0.93 | 1.27 | 1.47 |
| ZeroPop11 | S18 | Rival | 1.25 | 0.92 | 1.25 | 1.53 |
| MauiDestroYa | S14 | Challenger | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.43 | 1.58 |
| le bin. | S26 | Challenger | 1.07 | 0.86 | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| Rhinocersaurus | S17 | Amateur | 1.0 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.67 |
| Merioch | S19 | Challenger | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.77 |
| Rampage | S19 | Amateur | 1.41 | 0.86 | 0.8 | 1.78 |
| LostZealous | S20 | Prospect | 1.14 | 0.8 | 1.37 | 1.81 |
| Bev ski | S19 | Rival | 1.12 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.81 |
| MiniTechniks | S19 | Contender | 1.17 | 0.75 | 1.33 | 1.85 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.